2024 Mineral Resource and Reserve Update
Summary
- Lynas Rare Earths has updated its Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates for the Mt Weld Rare Earth deposit.
- Mineral Resources have increased by 92% from 55.4 Mt to 106.6 Mt at 4.12% TREO between June 30, 2018, and June 30, 2024.
- Ore Reserves have increased by 63% from 19.7 Mt to 32.0 Mt at 6.44% TREO over the same period.
- Contained TREO has increased by 46% compared to the August 2018 Mineral Resources estimate.
- The updated Ore Reserve supports a mine life of over 35 years at a production rate sufficient for 7,200 tpa of NdPr oxide finished product.
- The updated Ore Reserve also supports a mine life of over 20 years at expanded production rates for sufficient concentrate feedstock for a production capacity of 12,000 tpa of NdPr oxide finished product.
- Contained Dysprosium oxide in Ore Reserves has increased by 92% from June 30, 2018, to June 30, 2024.
- Stored tailings are now included in the Ore Reserve due to the Mt Weld expansion flowsheet's capability for fine grinding and reprocessing.
- The company performed over 84,000 metres of drilling since the previous Mineral Resource update in August 2018.
- The fresh carbonatite was encountered in all holes to 200 metres below surface.
- The Mineral Resource cut-off grade of 2.5% TREO was applied, while the Reserves cutoff is 2.8% TREO.
- The long term price forecast of US$22.48/kg TREO was used.
Sentiment
Score: 9
Explanation: The announcement is highly positive due to the significant increases in Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves, supporting a long-term mine life and expanded production capacity. The management's comments are optimistic, and the industry context is favorable.
Positives
- Significant increase in Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves demonstrates the long-term potential of the Mt Weld deposit.
- The increased Ore Reserve supports a longer mine life at expanded production rates.
- The increase in Dysprosium oxide reserves supports the recently announced DyTb separation circuit at Lynas Malaysia.
- Inclusion of stored tailings in the Ore Reserve adds value through reprocessing.
- Extensive drilling has expanded the resource base and identified new mineralized zones.
- The updated Ore Reserve supports a mine life of over 35 years at production rates for 7,200 tpa NdPr oxide.
- The updated Ore Reserve also supports a mine life of over 20 years at expanded production rates for 12,000 tpa NdPr oxide.
Negatives
- The average grade of the Ore Reserves has reduced from 8.6% to 6.4% TREO, reflecting depletion and a revised cut-off grade.
Risks
- Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual outcomes to differ materially.
- The company's ability to achieve production targets and cost estimates is subject to various operational and market risks.
Future Outlook
The updated Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates support a long-term mine life at expanded production rates, ensuring Lynas can meet future market demand for rare earth elements.
Management Comments
- Lynas CEO and Managing Director, Amanda Lacaze, stated that the 2024 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves Statement demonstrates the remarkable advantages of Lynas' Mt Weld resource and provides confidence to customers that Lynas can meet their needs for responsibly produced rare earth materials today and tomorrow.
- Ms. Lacaze added that the increase in reserves ensures feed for the recently announced DyTb separation circuit at Lynas Malaysia, supporting Lynas to serve the needs of existing customers and acquire new customers.
Industry Context
This announcement is significant in the context of increasing global demand for rare earth elements, particularly for use in electric vehicles and high-tech electronics. Lynas' increased resource base strengthens its position as a major supplier outside of China.
Comparison to Industry Standards
- Lynas is the second largest producer of Neodymium-Praseodymium (NdPr) material in the world and the leading supplier of NdPr to the free market.
- China currently produces approximately 85% of the global rare earths market supplies.
- The company's Mt Weld operation is a significant rare earth deposit globally, comparable to other major carbonatite-hosted rare earth deposits such as Mountain Pass in the United States and Bayan Obo in China.
- The reported increases in resources and reserves position Lynas favorably against competitors in terms of long-term supply capacity.
Stakeholder Impact
- Shareholders will benefit from the increased resource base and longer mine life, enhancing the company's long-term value.
- Employees will have increased job security due to the expanded operations and longer mine life.
- Customers will have greater confidence in Lynas' ability to supply rare earth materials reliably.
- Suppliers will benefit from increased demand for goods and services due to the expanded operations.
- Creditors will have increased confidence in Lynas' ability to meet its financial obligations.
Next Steps
- Continue with the Mt Weld expansion project to increase throughput capacity.
- Advance the DyTb separation circuit at Lynas Malaysia.
- Conduct further infill drilling to upgrade Inferred resources to Indicated and Measured categories.
- Perform further metallurgical test work to assess potential economic pathways for mineral beneficiation of REE minerals in the fresh carbonatite and mineralised clays.
Key Dates
- June 30, 2018: Baseline date for comparison of Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves.
- August 2018: Date of the previous Mineral Resource update.
- June 30, 2023: Mineral Resource is depleted for in situ mining up to this date.
- February 2023: Lynas launched a Social Cultural Heritage Management Plan (SCHMP) for Mt Weld.
- October 31 2023: The Nyalpa Pirniku Native Title Claim was subsequently determined on this date by the Federal Court of Australia.
- December 20 2023: Western Australia Ministerial Statement No.1216 was issued on this date.
- June 15 2024: A total of 1,228,000m3 of total deposited tailings equivalent to 1,534,885 dmt at a bulk density of 1.20 tonnes/m3 has been recorded within the three Tailings Storage Facilities (TSFs) at Mt Weld.
- June 2024: Date of the updated Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates.
- August 5, 2024: Date of the announcement.
- 2025: Expected completion of the Mt Weld Expansion.
Keywords
Filings with Classifications
Production Update
- The successful first production of Terbium Oxide represents a significant expansion of Lynas' product capabilities and a positive operational milestone.
Results Presentation
- The company reports a profit in a challenging market, implying that the results were worse than expected.
Half Year Report
- The net profit after tax decreased significantly from $39.5 million to $5.9 million, indicating a worse financial performance compared to the previous year.
Results Presentation
- NdPr production increased by 23% compared to 1H FY24.
- Sales revenue increased by 8% compared to 1H FY24.
Interim Financial Report
- The results were worse than expected due to a significant decrease in net profit, driven by lower rare earth prices and increased production costs.
Quarterly Report
- Production volumes were lower than planned due to issues with impurities in the MREC feedstock and the annual processing limit in Malaysia.
Quarterly Report
- The chemical inputs required for the treatment of MREC impurities were not available until December 25th, causing a delay in production.
Annual General Meeting Presentation
- The significant increase in Mt Weld Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves, coupled with the successful completion of major projects and cost reductions, indicate results better than might have been expected.
Annual General Meeting Presentation
- Site works at the US facility are on hold due to a wastewater permitting issue.
Quarterly Report
- Rare earth prices remained low throughout most of Q1 FY25, resulting in lower than expected sales revenue compared to previous quarters.
Quarterly Report
- A permitting issue related to wastewater management has put a hold on earthworks for the U.S. Rare Earths Processing Facility.
ESG Report
- The net profit after tax was significantly lower than the previous year, indicating worse than expected financial performance.
Annual Report
- The net profit after tax decreased significantly from $310.7 million in FY23 to $84.5 million in FY24, primarily due to lower rare earth prices and reduced production volumes.
Annual Report
- Earthworks for the planned U.S. Rare Earths Processing Facility have been delayed until a permitting issue related to wastewater management is resolved, which is unlikely to happen before the end of 2024.
Company Presentation
- The company announced a 92% increase in Mineral Resources and a 63% increase in Mt Weld Ore Reserves.
Resource and Reserve Update
- The Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves have increased significantly compared to the 2018 estimates.
- The contained Dysprosium oxide in Ore Reserves has increased substantially.
- The updated Ore Reserve supports a longer mine life at expanded production rates.
Quarterly Report
- Completion of Stage 2 of the Mt Weld Expansion Project is now expected by the end of FY25.
- Delays in receiving concentrate due to disturbances to the global shipping industry and kiln maintenance shutdowns impacted downstream production.
Quarterly Report
- The company's REO and NdPr production were lower than the previous quarter.
Missing type for ID: 3288
- ASX:LYC announces a delay.
Investor Presentation
- Many new rare earth projects have stalled.
Investor Presentation
- Pricing at surprisingly low levels following strong production growth inside China.
Quarterly Report
- The commissioning timeline for the Kalgoorlie facility has been extended, leading to a budget increase.
Quarterly Report
- The Q3 FY24 revenue was significantly lower than the previous year due to lower NdPr prices and the decision to hold inventory.
Disclaimer: This summary was generated by artificial intelligence and its accuracy is not guaranteed. The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, recommendation, or endorsement of any kind. It may contain errors or omissions. You should not rely on this information to make financial decisions. Always seek the advice of a qualified financial professional before making any investment or financial decisions. Use of this information is at your own risk.