8-K: Liberty Global Provides Preliminary Q2 Results for Sunrise and VM Ireland
Summary
- Liberty Global has released preliminary Q2 2024 results for Sunrise Holding Group and VM Ireland.
- VM Ireland saw a 1.9% year-over-year decrease in revenue to 111.5 million, with a 32.3% decrease in net earnings to 10.9 million.
- VM Ireland's Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 2.1% year-over-year to 42.5 million.
- VM Ireland's B2B revenue increased by 15.4% year-over-year to 10.5 million, driven by entry into wholesale access.
- VM Ireland added 254,000 premises through an off-net program with National Broadband Ireland (NBI).
- VM Ireland upgraded nearly 40% of its premises to full fiber by the end of Q2.
- Sunrise Holding Group's revenue increased by 1.1% year-over-year to 769.5 million, while net loss increased by 12.3% to 75.0 million.
- Sunrise Holding Group's Adjusted EBITDA increased by 1.3% year-over-year to 271.8 million.
- Sunrise Holding Group achieved 5,000 net broadband customer additions and 32,900 mobile postpaid net additions in Q2.
- Sunrise Holding Group's fixed-mobile convergence penetration reached 59%, an increase of 0.9% year-over-year.
- Sunrise Holding Group is on track for a spin-off in Q4, with a Capital Markets Day scheduled for September 9 in Zurich.
- Sunrise Holding Group's 2024 financial guidance includes broadly stable revenue and stable to low-single-digit growth in Adjusted EBITDA.
Sentiment
Score: 5
Explanation: The sentiment is neutral to slightly negative due to mixed results. While there are positive aspects like B2B growth and fiber upgrades, the significant decreases in net earnings and increased net losses raise concerns. The forward guidance is stable, but not overly optimistic.
Positives
- VM Ireland's B2B revenue saw a significant increase of 15.4% year-over-year.
- VM Ireland expanded its market reach by adding 254,000 premises through the NBI partnership.
- VM Ireland made substantial progress in its fiber upgrade program, reaching nearly 40% of premises.
- Sunrise Holding Group achieved positive broadband net adds for the second consecutive quarter.
- Sunrise Holding Group experienced an acceleration in mobile postpaid growth, with 32,900 net additions.
- Sunrise Holding Group's fixed-mobile convergence penetration continues to grow, reaching 59%.
Negatives
- VM Ireland's overall revenue decreased by 1.9% year-over-year.
- VM Ireland's net earnings decreased significantly by 32.3% year-over-year.
- VM Ireland's Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 2.1% year-over-year.
- VM Ireland experienced fixed customer net losses of 4,100 in Q2.
- Sunrise Holding Group's net loss increased by 12.3% year-over-year.
- Sunrise Holding Group's Adjusted EBITDA less P&E Additions decreased by 8.8% year-over-year.
Risks
- VM Ireland's financial performance is being impacted by growth investments.
- VM Ireland's fixed customer net losses were impacted by elevated churn and a fixed price rise.
- Sunrise Holding Group's net loss increased due to lower realized and unrealized losses on derivative instruments, a decrease in foreign currency gains, and an increase in income tax expense.
- Sunrise Holding Group's customer ARPU decreased by 0.8% year-over-year due to the competitive environment.
- The price increase effect for Sunrise will no longer be visible in the second half of the year.
Future Outlook
Liberty Global anticipates the full 100.0 million of borrowing capacity will continue to be available for VM Ireland. Sunrise Holding Group expects broadly stable revenue and stable to low-single-digit growth in Adjusted EBITDA for 2024. Sunrise is on track for a spin-off in Q4.
Management Comments
- Tony Hanway, CEO of VM Ireland, stated they made significant progress on strategic priorities during the second quarter.
- Tony Hanway highlighted the partnership with National Broadband Ireland (NBI) and the fiber upgrade program.
- Tony Hanway noted that overall financial performance continues to be impacted by growth investments.
- Andr Krause, CEO of Sunrise, commented that they strengthened commercial momentum and reduced the churn rate significantly.
- Andr Krause stated that they achieved net customer growth in broadband for the second quarter in a row.
- Andr Krause confirmed that they remain on track with their financial results and fully confirm their 2024 guidance.
- Andr Krause mentioned that preparations for the spin-off are progressing according to plan.
Industry Context
The results reflect the ongoing trends in the telecommunications industry, including the push for fiber upgrades, the importance of B2B revenue streams, and the competitive pressures on customer acquisition and retention. The partnership between VM Ireland and NBI is an example of strategic collaborations to expand network reach. The planned spin-off of Sunrise is a strategic move to unlock value and focus on core operations.
Comparison to Industry Standards
- VM Ireland's revenue decline of 1.9% is not uncommon in the competitive telecom market, but the 32.3% drop in net earnings is a concern and may be worse than some peers.
- VM Ireland's B2B growth of 15.4% is a positive sign, indicating a successful diversification strategy, which is in line with industry trends.
- The fiber upgrade program at VM Ireland, with nearly 40% of premises upgraded, is a significant achievement, comparable to other European operators investing in next-generation networks.
- Sunrise Holding Group's 1.1% revenue growth is modest, but the 1.3% increase in Adjusted EBITDA is a positive indicator of operational efficiency, although the net loss increase is a concern.
- Sunrise Holding Group's broadband net adds of 5,000 and mobile postpaid net adds of 32,900 are solid results, showing a positive trend in customer acquisition, which is better than some competitors in the Swiss market.
- The fixed-mobile convergence penetration of 59% at Sunrise is a strong indicator of successful bundling strategies, which is a key focus for many telecom operators globally.
- The planned spin-off of Sunrise is a strategic move similar to other telecom companies that have divested non-core assets to focus on core operations and unlock shareholder value.
Stakeholder Impact
- Shareholders may be concerned about the decrease in net earnings and increased net losses.
- Customers of VM Ireland will benefit from the expanded network reach and fiber upgrades.
- Customers of Sunrise Holding Group will benefit from increased broadband speeds and improved mobile services.
- Employees of both groups may be affected by the ongoing strategic changes and cost optimization efforts.
Next Steps
- VM Ireland will continue to focus on its fiber upgrade program and the NBI partnership.
- Sunrise Holding Group will proceed with preparations for its spin-off in Q4.
- Sunrise Holding Group will hold a Capital Markets Day on September 9 in Zurich.
- Both groups will continue to focus on customer acquisition and retention.
Key Dates
- July 25, 2024: Date of the press release and 8-K filing, providing preliminary Q2 2024 results.
- June 30, 2024: End of the reporting period for the preliminary Q2 2024 results.
- August 2024: Expected date for the release of the full unaudited financial statements for the fixed-income borrowing groups.
- September 9, 2024: Date of the Capital Markets Day for Sunrise Holding Group in Zurich.
Keywords
Filings with Classifications
Insider Transaction Report
- Director Daniel E. Sanchez increased his direct beneficial ownership of Liberty Global common shares through the vesting of previously granted Restricted Share Units.
- He received substantial new grants of Restricted Share Units and stock options, indicating continued alignment of his interests with the company's long-term performance and growth.
Quarterly Report
- VMO2 announced a pause of NetCo stake sale process to align with JV partner's strategic review.
Quarterly Report
- VodafoneZiggo revised its 2025 guidance, projecting a steeper than expected Adjusted EBITDA decline.
Quarterly Report
- The company reported a net loss attributable to Liberty Global shareholders of $1,337.3 million for Q1 2025, compared to net earnings of $510.0 million for the same period in 2024.
- The company experienced significant foreign currency transaction losses of $1,081.0 million in Q1 2025.
Preliminary Results
- Wyre secured commitments for a standalone 500 million capex facility for its roll-out ambitions.
- Telenet implemented a trade receivables securitization program resulting in net proceeds of 189.2 million.
Preliminary Results
- Overall revenue decreased YoY for both FY 2024 and Q4 2024, indicating underperformance compared to the previous year.
- Residential fixed and mobile revenue decreased YoY in Q4 2024, suggesting challenges in the core business segments.
- Fixed-line customer relationships decreased by 9,500 YoY, reflecting customer losses.
Quarterly and Full Year Results
- Liberty Global will focus on the inherent value of its fixed networks and, specifically, seek to raise capital for its fiber NetCos in Belgium and the U.K.
Annual Report
- The company reported earnings from continuing operations of $1,869.1 million for 2024, a significant improvement compared to the loss of $3,659.1 million in 2023.
Spin-off Announcement
- The pro forma statements show a loss from continuing operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, and the year ended December 31, 2023, indicating a negative impact from the spin-off on the remaining business.
Quarterly Report
- The company reported a net loss of 15.1 million compared to a net profit of 439.2 million in the same quarter last year, primarily due to significant net finance expenses.
- Adjusted Free Cash Flow declined by 61.3% year-over-year, indicating a significant deterioration in cash generation.
Quarterly Results
- VM Ireland's revenue and profitability declined year-over-year, with a significant increase in net loss.
- VM Ireland's adjusted EBITDA decreased by 10.7% year-over-year, indicating weaker operational performance.
Quarterly Report
- The company reported a significant net loss of $1,410.9 million for Q3 2024, a substantial decrease compared to the $822.7 million profit in Q3 2023.
Quarterly Report
- The company reported a significant net loss of $1.41 billion in Q3 2024, compared to a net income of $822.7 million in the same period last year, indicating worse than expected financial performance.
Spin-off Announcement
- The 2024 Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance was lowered from CHF 360-400 million to CHF 360-370 million due to one-off spin-off related costs.
Quarterly Report
- The company's Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 7.8% year-over-year, indicating a decline in profitability compared to the previous year.
- The Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted from 50.8% to 47.0%, reflecting a decrease in profitability.
- Adjusted EBITDA less P&E Additions declined significantly due to higher CAPEX intensity and lower Adjusted EBITDA.
Quarterly Results
- VM Ireland's net earnings decreased by 32.3% year-over-year, indicating a significant downturn in profitability.
- Sunrise Holding Group's net loss increased by 12.3% year-over-year, suggesting a worsening financial position.
Quarterly Report
- VMO2's full-year revenue guidance was revised down to a 'low to mid-single-digit decline', indicating worse than expected performance in that area.
Quarterly Report
- The company's net earnings attributable to shareholders improved significantly compared to the same period last year.
Earnings Call Transcript
- The company expects the spin-off to create a fully distributed local valuation for Sunrise, which will represent a meaningful premium to our stock trades.
- Analysts have estimated a preliminary value for Sunrise of approximately $11 per Liberty share, which is significant in relation to the current stock price.
Earnings Call Update
- The spin-off is expected to unlock significant value for shareholders by establishing a separate, higher valuation for Sunrise.
- Analysts have estimated a preliminary value for Sunrise at approximately $11 per Liberty Global share, which is a significant premium to the current trading price.
- The company expects a re-rating of the remaining Liberty Global business after the spin-off.
Quarterly Results
- VM Ireland's revenue and Adjusted EBITDA decreased year-over-year, indicating worse than expected performance.
- Sunrise Holding's rebased revenue and Adjusted EBITDA growth was flat, indicating worse than expected performance.
Quarterly Report
- The company's Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 6.9% YoY on a reported basis and 6.8% on a rebased basis, indicating a worse performance than expected in terms of profitability.
Quarterly Report
- The company's net earnings were significantly better than the same period last year, moving from a loss to a profit.
Strategic Announcement
- The spin-off of Sunrise is expected to unlock significant value for shareholders.
- The company is investing $1.7 billion to deleverage Sunrise, increasing its equity value.
- The company is committed to shareholder remuneration through buybacks and distributions.
Quarterly Results
- VM Ireland's full year and Q4 net earnings were significantly worse than the previous year.
- VM Ireland's full year Adjusted EBITDA decreased year-over-year.
- Sunrise Holding's full year Adjusted EBITDA decreased year-over-year.
Quarterly Results
- Sunrise Holding experienced a delay in activations which impacted broadband performance.
Quarterly Report
- The consolidated results show a decrease in revenue and Adjusted EBITDA on a rebased basis, indicating worse than expected performance.
- The company also reported a significant loss from continuing operations, further highlighting the worse than expected results.
Quarterly Report
- Sunrise experienced a delay in activations, which impacted their broadband performance in Q4.
- Telenet's results were impacted by continued IT platform migration issues throughout 2023.
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