10-Q: Great Ajax Corp. Reports Second Quarter 2024 Results Amid Strategic Shift

Sentiment:

Quarterly Report


Great Ajax Corp. announces its second quarter 2024 results, highlighting a net loss and strategic changes including a new management agreement and a shift towards commercial real estate investments.

Capital raiseThe company sold $14.0 million of common stock to Rithm Capital Corp. at a price of $4.87 per share.The company issued 3,174,645 shares of common stock to the Former Manager in connection with the termination of the Former Management Agreement.The company issued 12,046,218 shares of common stock to preferred shareholders in connection with the settlement of the common stock payable liability related to the exchange of preferred shares for common stock.
Worse than expectedThe company's net loss and decrease in book value were worse than expected.The company's mortgage loan portfolio decreased significantly, indicating a decline in its core business.The company's Earnings Available for Distribution was a loss, indicating poor operational performance.

Summary

  • Great Ajax Corp. reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $12.7 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2024.
  • The company's Earnings Available for Distribution, a non-GAAP measure, was a loss of $9.6 million, or $0.24 per diluted share.
  • Book value per diluted common share decreased to $5.56 as of June 30, 2024, from $9.99 at the end of 2023.
  • The company's strategic transaction with Rithm Capital Corp. was completed, including a new management agreement with RCM GA Manager LLC and a shift towards commercial real estate investments.
  • The company sold 1,712 mortgage loans held-for-sale during the six months ended June 30, 2024, resulting in a loss of $3.0 million.
  • The company's mortgage loan portfolio decreased to $522.8 million with an aggregate UPB of $562.1 million as of June 30, 2024, from $1.0 billion at the end of 2023.
  • The company's repurchase obligations decreased to $246.5 million as of June 30, 2024, from $375.7 million at the end of 2023.

Sentiment

Score: 4

Explanation: The document presents a mixed picture. While the strategic shift and new management are positive, the significant net loss, decrease in book value, and the challenges in the mortgage market are concerning. The sentiment is cautiously negative due to the financial losses and the uncertainty of the transition.

Positives

  • The company completed a strategic transaction with Rithm Capital Corp., which is expected to bring new opportunities in commercial real estate.
  • The company has reduced its repurchase obligations to $246.5 million as of June 30, 2024, from $375.7 million at the end of 2023.

Negatives

  • The company reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $12.7 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2024.
  • The company's Earnings Available for Distribution was a loss of $9.6 million, or $0.24 per diluted share.
  • The company's book value per diluted common share decreased to $5.56 as of June 30, 2024.
  • The company sold 1,712 mortgage loans held-for-sale during the six months ended June 30, 2024, resulting in a loss of $3.0 million.
  • The company's mortgage loan portfolio decreased to $522.8 million with an aggregate UPB of $562.1 million as of June 30, 2024.

Risks

  • The company expects to continue to incur operating losses for the foreseeable future as it transitions to commercial real estate investments.
  • Higher interest rates are expected to continue to negatively impact the company's loan assets and net interest income.
  • The company faces risks related to the management transition and the transfer of servicing contracts.
  • The company's share price has been and may continue to be volatile.
  • The company faces risks related to the performance of the new manager and servicer.
  • The company faces risks related to the performance of commercial real estate loans and investments.

Future Outlook

The company expects to continue to incur operating losses for the foreseeable future as it transitions to commercial real estate investments. The company will seek to capitalize on commercial real estate investment opportunities and will be managed by RCM GA, which has an experienced team with a well-recognized track record of success in real estate investments.

Management Comments

  • The company will seek to capitalize on commercial real estate investment opportunities and will be managed by RCM GA, which has an experienced team with a well-recognized track record of success in real estate investments.
  • The post-closing Company does not currently anticipate investing in residential mortgage loans, RPLs or NPLs.

Industry Context

The company's strategic shift towards commercial real estate reflects a broader trend of investors seeking opportunities in this sector due to market disruptions and refinancing challenges. The company's move away from residential mortgage loans aligns with the current market conditions and the company's new strategic direction.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • The company's shift to commercial real estate is a departure from its historical focus on residential mortgage loans, which is a common strategy among mortgage REITs.
  • The company's net loss and decrease in book value are concerning, but not uncommon in the current market environment for mortgage REITs.
  • The company's repurchase obligations are decreasing, which is a positive sign for its financial stability.
  • The company's transition to a new manager and servicer is a significant change that could impact its future performance.
  • The company's performance should be compared to other REITs that are transitioning to commercial real estate, such as Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) and Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT), to assess its relative performance.

Management Changes

RolePrevious PersonNew PersonEffective DateReason
External ManagerThetis Asset Management LLCRCM GA Manager LLC2024-06-11Strategic transaction with Rithm Capital Corp.
Loan ServicerGregory Funding LLCNewrez LLC2024-06-01Strategic transaction with Rithm Capital Corp.

Related Party Transactions

  • The company entered into a new management agreement with RCM GA Manager LLC, an affiliate of Rithm Capital Corp.
  • The company transferred its loan servicing to Newrez LLC, an affiliate of Rithm Capital Corp.
  • The company issued 3,174,645 shares of common stock to the Former Manager in connection with the termination of the Former Management Agreement.
  • The company sold $14.0 million of common stock to Rithm Capital Corp. at a price of $4.87 per share.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Shareholders will experience a decrease in book value per share.
  • Shareholders will be impacted by the company's strategic shift towards commercial real estate.
  • Employees of the former manager and servicer may be impacted by the transition.
  • Borrowers will be serviced by a new servicer, Newrez LLC.

Next Steps

  • The company will continue to transition its portfolio towards commercial real estate investments.
  • The company will work with the new manager, RCM GA Manager LLC, to implement its new strategic direction.
  • The company will monitor market conditions and adjust its investment and financing strategies as needed.

Key Dates

DateDescription
2014-01-30Great Ajax Corp. was formed.
2014-03-28Great Ajax Corp. was capitalized.
2017-01-01The company transferred certain investments in securities to held-to-maturity due to European risk retention regulations.
2020-01-01The company adopted ASU 2016-13, Financial Instruments Credit Losses, otherwise known as CECL using the prospective transition approach for PCD assets.
2022-08-01The Operating Partnership issued $110.0 million aggregate principal amount of 8.875% senior unsecured notes due September 2027.
2023-01-01The company transferred a carrying value of $83.0 million of investment securities from AFS to HTM due to sale restrictions pursuant to Article 6(1) of Regulation (EU) 2017/2402.
2024-02-26The company entered into a $70.0 million term loan with NIC RMBS and terminated its existing management contract with the Former Manager.
2024-05-20The company's stockholders approved the sale of $14.0 million of common stock and a new management agreement with RCM GA.
2024-06-01The company assigned all servicing agreements to Newrez LLC.
2024-06-11The company completed its strategic transaction with Rithm Capital Corp. and entered into a new management agreement with RCM GA Manager LLC.
2024-06-30The company received notification that the 2027 Notes were downgraded from BBBto BB+.
2024-08-30The company will pay a cash dividend of $0.06 per share.

Keywords

commercial real estate, mortgage loans, net loss, strategic transaction, Rithm Capital Corp., management agreement, repurchase obligations, book value, servicing, EBITDA

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