10-Q: TXNM Energy Q3 2025: Earnings Dip Amid Merger Progress

Sentiment:

Quarterly Report


TXNM Energy reports a decline in Q3 2025 net earnings to $130.7 million, or $1.22 per diluted share, as it progresses towards its merger with Blackstone Infrastructure.

Delay expectedPNM's deadline to file and present its evaluation of RFP bids for 2029-2032 new energy resources was extended from September 2025 to January 9, 2026.NMED approved PNM's request to delay the submission of the Stage 1 Abatement Plan (S1AP) for SJGS to November 26, 2025.The DC Circuit has agreed to hold the Coal Combustion Residuals (CCR) Legacy Rule case in abeyance until December 15, 2025.EPA withdrew the final rule revising compliance deadlines for CCR Management Unit (CCRMU) requirements under the Legacy Rule due to adverse comments, anticipating a proposed rule in January 2026 with a final rule expected in October 2026.The Merger is currently expected to close in the second half of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals, indicating a potentially extended timeline.
Capital raiseTXNM sold 3,542,377 shares of common stock under the TXNM 2025 ATM Program for net cash proceeds of $198.0 million.TXNM sold 3,615,003 shares of common stock in a private placement transaction for approximately $200 million.TXNM sold 8,000,000 shares of common stock in a private placement transaction for $400.0 million.PNM issued $300.0 million aggregate principal amount of PNM April 2025 SUNs in private placement transactions.PNM issued $350.0 million aggregate principal amount of PNM July 2025 SUNs in private placement transactions.TNMP issued $140.0 million aggregate principal amount of TNMP February 2025 Bonds in private placement transactions.TNMP issued $1,084.3 million aggregate principal amount of TNMP July 2025 FMBs in private placement transactions.The Company anticipates that it will be necessary to obtain additional long-term financing in the form of debt refinancing, new debt issuances, and/or new equity, including those provided for under the Merger Agreement, to fund its capital requirements during the 2025-2029 period.
Worse than expectedNet earnings attributable to TXNM decreased to $161.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, from $226.4 million in the prior year.Diluted EPS decreased to $1.63 for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, from $2.50 in the prior year.PNM's utility margin decreased by $7.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to milder weather and capacity arrangements.Higher operating expenses, increased depreciation, and higher interest charges across both PNM and TNMP contributed to the decline in consolidated earnings.

Summary

  • TXNM Energy, Inc. (TXNM) reported net earnings attributable to TXNM of $161.2 million, or $1.63 per diluted share, for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, a decrease from $226.4 million, or $2.50 per diluted share, in the same period of 2024.
  • For the three months ended September 30, 2025, net earnings attributable to TXNM were $130.7 million, or $1.22 per diluted share, compared to $131.2 million, or $1.45 per diluted share, in the prior year.
  • The proposed merger with Blackstone Infrastructure was unanimously approved by the TXNM Board and shareholders on August 28, 2025, and is expected to close in the second half of 2026, pending various regulatory approvals.
  • PNM's utility margin decreased by $7.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to milder weather and capacity arrangements, partially offset by rate relief and industrial load growth.
  • TNMP's utility margin increased by $39.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, driven by transmission and distribution rate increases and significant demand-based load growth, including a 102.7% increase in data center load.
  • Consolidated capital requirements are projected at $8.6 billion for 2025-2029, including $7.834.3 billion for construction expenditures and $762.3 million for common stock dividends.
  • PNM's 2025 Rate Request, seeking a general increase in retail electric rates, received NMPRC approval on May 15, 2025, with an overall revenue requirement increase of $105.0 million.
  • TNMP qualifies for Texas House Bill 5247 (HB 5247), allowing it to defer costs for qualifying investments to a regulatory asset, with the first comprehensive filing expected in 2026.

Sentiment

Score: 5

Explanation: While earnings declined year-over-year, the company is actively managing its regulatory environment with several approvals for rate increases and capital projects. The pending merger with Blackstone Infrastructure introduces both uncertainty and potential for future stability. Significant capital investments are planned for grid modernization and clean energy transition, which are long-term positives, but current financial performance is mixed due to higher expenses and milder weather.

Positives

  • TNMP's utility margin increased by $39.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, driven by transmission and distribution rate increases and demand-based load growth.
  • TNMP experienced significant data center load growth, increasing 102.7% for the nine months ended September 30, 2025.
  • PNM's industrial load increased by 17.6% for the nine months ended September 30, 2025.
  • PNM's 2025 Rate Request, including a $105.0 million revenue requirement increase, was approved by the NMPRC on May 15, 2025.
  • PNM's Grid Modernization Plan, with investments increasing to approximately $367 million over the first six years, received NMPRC approval.
  • PNM's 2028 Resource Application, including two 150 MW Energy Storage Agreements, a 167 MW Power Purchase Agreement for Valencia, and a Certificate of Convenience and Necessity for a 100 MW solar facility and 30 MW battery (with a 20 MW option), was approved by NMPRC on June 26, 2025.
  • TNMP received a $34.6 million sales and use tax refund, with $24.7 million applied to 2025 capital projects.
  • The merger with Blackstone Infrastructure was unanimously approved by the TXNM Board and shareholders on August 28, 2025.
  • The company maintains investment-grade credit ratings from Moody's and S&P, with S&P viewing the merger as credit supportive.
  • New Mexico's Strategic Economic Development Site Readiness Bill and Power Readiness Bill were passed, supporting economic development and utility infrastructure investments.

Negatives

  • TXNM's net earnings attributable to TXNM decreased to $161.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, from $226.4 million in the prior year.
  • TXNM's diluted EPS decreased to $1.63 for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, from $2.50 in the prior year.
  • PNM's utility margin decreased by $7.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to milder weather and capacity arrangements.
  • Higher operating expenses, increased depreciation, and higher interest charges across both PNM and TNMP negatively impacted consolidated earnings.
  • PNM recorded a regulatory disallowance of $0.9 million related to the Four Corners Coal Mine reclamation remeasurement for the capped surface mine liability in Q3 2025.
  • The newly enacted One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 (OBBBA) accelerates the phase-out of certain Inflation Reduction Act energy tax credits and restricts credit availability for foreign entities of concern, potentially leading to higher costs for future renewable energy development.
  • PNM notified the Western Power Pool of its election to withdraw from the Western Resource Adequacy Program (WRAP), potentially impacting regional resource adequacy coordination.
  • Merger-related litigation has been instituted by purported TXNM shareholders alleging omitted or misrepresented material information in the preliminary proxy statement.

Risks

  • Failure of Parent (Blackstone Infrastructure) to obtain any equity, debt, or other financing necessary to complete the Merger.
  • Uncertainty regarding the timing, receipt, and terms of required governmental and regulatory approvals (PUCT, NMPRC, FERC, NRC, HSR) for the Merger, which could reduce anticipated benefits or cause abandonment.
  • The occurrence of any event, change, or other circumstances that could give rise to the termination of the Merger Agreement, including in circumstances requiring TXNM to pay a $210.0 million termination fee plus costs.
  • The announcement and pendency of the proposed Merger could disrupt TXNM's businesses, adversely affect its ability to retain and hire key personnel, and maintain relationships with customers and suppliers.
  • Operating restrictions imposed by the Merger Agreement may prevent TXNM from pursuing otherwise attractive business opportunities or capital structure alternatives.
  • The risk that the price of TXNM's common stock may fluctuate during the pendency of the proposed transaction and may decline significantly if the proposed transaction is not completed.
  • The outcome of any legal proceedings, regulatory proceedings, or enforcement matters that may be instituted relating to the Merger, including shareholder lawsuits.
  • The inability of PNM and TNMP to recover costs and earn allowed returns in regulated jurisdictions, impacting service levels for customers.
  • Uncertainty regarding the requirements and related costs of decommissioning power plants and reclamation of coal mines, as well as the ability to recover those costs from customers.
  • Potential for regulatory orders, legislation, or rulemakings that provide for municipalization or public ownership of utility assets, or which would delay or impact resource procurement.
  • The Company's ability to maintain its debt and access financial markets due to disruptions, ratings agency actions, interest rate fluctuations, geopolitical activity, or the risk of wildfires and storms.
  • Risks associated with the cost and completion of generation, transmission, distribution, and other projects, including regulatory approvals, cost recovery, counterparty obligations, and supply chain disruptions.
  • The potential unavailability of cash from TXNM's subsidiaries due to regulatory, statutory, or contractual restrictions.
  • Performance of generating units, transmission systems, and distribution systems, which could be negatively affected by operational issues, fuel quality and supply chain issues, unplanned outages, extreme weather conditions, wildfires, storms, terrorism, and cybersecurity breaches.
  • State and federal regulation or legislation relating to environmental matters and renewable energy requirements, the resultant costs of compliance, and other impacts on operations and economic viability.
  • Risks related to climate change, including potential financial and reputational risks from increased stakeholder scrutiny, litigation, and legislative/regulatory efforts to limit greenhouse gases.
  • Uncertainty surrounding counterparty performance and credit risk, including the ability of counterparties to supply fuel and perform reclamation activities.
  • The impacts of decreases in the values of marketable securities maintained in trusts for decommissioning, reclamation, pension benefits, and other postretirement benefits.

Future Outlook

The merger with Blackstone Infrastructure is expected to close in the second half of 2026, contingent on various regulatory approvals. PNM aims to achieve a 100% carbon-free generating portfolio by 2040 and plans to join the Extended Day Ahead Market (EDAM) in the fall of 2027, with associated costs to be sought for recovery in a future rate case. PNM anticipates specific contributions to its mine reclamation trusts in 2025, with no contributions expected in 2026 or 2027 for its pension plan. TNMP expects to file its first comprehensive proceeding under HB 5247 in 2026 to recover costs for eligible transmission and distribution investments. EPA intends to finalize proposed rules on GHG emission standards and PM standards by the end of 2025 and October 2026, respectively, and a final rule for CCR handling in Native American reservations by December 2026. The company anticipates needing additional long-term financing in the form of debt and/or equity issuances to fund its capital requirements through 2029.

Management Comments

  • TXNM strives to create a clean and bright energy future for customers, communities, and shareholders.
  • TXNM's strategy and decision-making are focused on safely providing reliable, affordable, and environmentally responsible power built on a foundation of sustainability.
  • Management believes that maintaining strong and modern electric infrastructure is critical to ensuring reliability and supporting economic growth.
  • PNM has successfully complied with all WRAP requirements to date and fully supports the need to align a resource adequacy program with coordination between power providers.
  • PNM will seek to align resource adequacy coordination with others in the EDAM regional market to maximize customer benefits.
  • The Company strives to deliver a superior customer experience.
  • TXNM has a long-standing record of environmental stewardship.
  • PNM stands out as one of the few investor-owned utilities dedicated to operating a tribal relations office, which is focused on serving and collaborating with 18 of the 23 sovereign nations in New Mexico and the Southwest.
  • TXNM recognizes its responsibility to support programs and organizations that enrich the quality of life across its service territories and seeks opportunities to further demonstrate its commitment in these areas as needs arise.
  • The Company currently believes that its internal cash generation, existing credit arrangements, and access to public and private capital markets will provide sufficient resources to meet the Company's capital requirements for at least the next twelve months.
  • The Company believes its financing arrangements are sufficient to meet the requirements of the contingent provisions.

Industry Context

The utility industry is navigating a complex landscape characterized by a transition towards carbon-free generation, increasing regulatory scrutiny on environmental matters, and the need for significant infrastructure investments. New Mexico's Energy Transition Act (ETA) mandates a 100% zero-carbon energy portfolio by 2045, driving PNM's strategic shift. Federal legislation, such as the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), initially provided clean energy incentives, but the recent One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 (OBBBA) introduces uncertainty by accelerating phase-outs and restricting credits. Regulatory bodies like the EPA are reconsidering key environmental regulations, including GHG standards and coal combustion residuals (CCRs), creating an evolving compliance environment. Regional energy markets, such as CAISO's EIM and the planned EDAM, are expanding to integrate renewable resources and enhance efficiency. Texas is actively encouraging utility investments in grid reliability and resiliency through new legislation like HB 5247, providing timely cost recovery mechanisms. Customer satisfaction remains a key focus, with utilities like PNM maintaining stable rankings despite industry-wide declines, emphasizing the importance of service quality and community engagement.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • PNM measures reliability and benchmarks performance against other utilities using industry-standard metrics, including System Average Interruption Duration Index and System Average Interruption Frequency Index.
  • PNM's ranking in customer satisfaction (as measured by J.D. Power) remains stable, reflecting sustained efforts to improve the customer journey, while the electric utility industry generally experiences declines.
  • TNMP's high-performance homes residential new construction energy efficiency program has earned the Energy Star Partner of the Year award for 8 years, including 6 years receiving the Sustained Excellence Award, recognizing long-term commitment to fighting climate change and protecting public health through energy efficiency.
  • PNM's commitment to becoming 100% carbon-free by 2040 produces a carbon emissions reduction pathway that tracks within the ranges of climate scenario pathways consistent with limiting global warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius, comparing favorably to the U.S. Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) of 50%-52% carbon emissions reduction by 2030 and the Biden Administration's goal of net-zero by 2050.
  • The company believes the terms and conditions of its revolving credit facilities are consistent with those of other investment grade revolving credit facilities in the utility industry.

Management Changes

RolePrevious PersonNew PersonEffective DateReason
General Counsel, Senior Vice President Regulatory and Public Policy, and Corporate SecretaryNANewly appointed (name not specified in excerpt)September 16, 2024One-time sign-on equity grant

Corporate Governance

Change TypeDescriptionEffective DateImpact Assessment
Name Change and Authorized Shares IncreasePNM Resources, Inc. amended its Articles of Incorporation to change its name to TXNM Energy, Inc. and increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 120,000,000 to 200,000,000.August 2, 2024Reflects corporate restructuring and increased flexibility for equity financing.
Merger Agreement ApprovalThe proposed Merger with Blackstone Infrastructure was unanimously approved by the TXNM Board and by a majority of TXNM shareholders.August 28, 2025 (shareholder approval)Key step towards the consummation of the Merger, subject to regulatory approvals.
Dividend PolicyThe Board approved a 5.4% increase in the annual common stock dividend in December 2023 and a 5.2% increase in December 2024.December 2023, December 2024Demonstrates commitment to shareholder returns, within the target payout ratio of 50% to 60% of ongoing earnings.
Risk Management OversightThe Board's Finance Committee sets risk limit parameters, and the Risk Management Committee (RMC) has oversight over the risk control organization, establishing policies and reviewing activities.OngoingEnsures integrated risk and strategy oversight and planning, particularly for climate change and operational risks.

Legal Proceedings

  • Merger-Related Litigation: TXNM has received demand letters and draft complaints from purported shareholders alleging omitted or misrepresented material information in the preliminary proxy statement regarding the Merger. TXNM believes these allegations are without merit and will defend vigorously.
  • Four Corners NPDES Permit: Environmental groups filed a petition for review with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit regarding the reissued permit. A settlement agreement was executed in May 2022, and EPA issued a modification to the permit in December 2023. PNM does not anticipate a material impact.
  • SJGS Groundwater Contamination: PNM received a letter from NMED on July 29, 2025, designating PNM as a responsible party and requiring a Stage 1 Abatement Plan proposal for SJGS for groundwater and soil contamination. PNM is currently unable to determine the outcome of this matter.
  • CCR Legacy Rule: Six petitions for review of the Legacy Rule were filed and consolidated by the DC Circuit. The Utility Solid Waste Activities Group, of which TXNM is a member, is a petitioner. The U.S. Supreme Court denied a requested stay. The DC Circuit has agreed to hold the case in abeyance until December 15, 2025.
  • EPA GHG Standards: Over a dozen states, several industry groups, and some power companies and labor unions filed challenges to EPA's 2024 Clean Air Act Section 111 rules at the DC Circuit. EPA announced reconsideration of these standards and the 2009 Endangerment Finding.
  • Ozone Interstate Transport FIP: EPA filed a motion for voluntary remand of its ozone interstate transport FIP for the 2015 ozone NAAQS to reconsider the rule.
  • PM Standard: The 2024 rule lowering the primary annual PM 2.5 NAAQS was challenged in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit, but motions for a stay were denied. EPA announced reconsideration.

Related Party Transactions

  • Services billings from TXNM to PNM totaled $98.270 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 (vs. $99.525 million in 2024).
  • Services billings from TXNM to TNMP totaled $39.621 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 (vs. $40.314 million in 2024).
  • Services billings from PNM to TNMP totaled $0.247 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 (vs. $0.368 million in 2024).
  • Services billings from TNMP to TXNM totaled $0.078 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 (vs. $0.085 million in 2024).
  • Services billings from TNMP to PNM totaled $0.497 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 (vs. $0.497 million in 2024).
  • Renewable energy purchases from PNM to NMRD were $0 for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 (vs. $1.523 million in 2024), as NMRD was sold on February 27, 2024.
  • Interest charges from TXNM to PNM totaled $0.133 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 (vs. $0.116 million in 2024).
  • Interest charges from PNM to TXNM totaled $0.398 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 (vs. $0.465 million in 2024).
  • Interest charges from TXNM to TNMP totaled $0.210 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 (vs. $0.202 million in 2024).
  • TXNM had $1.7 million in short-term borrowings from PNMR Development at September 30, 2025.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Shareholders: Approved the merger with Blackstone Infrastructure, with a proposed cash consideration of $61.25 per share. However, they face risks related to merger termination, stock price fluctuations, and ongoing merger-related litigation.
  • Customers: PNM customers will receive $105.0 million in retail rate credits over four years and benefit from $10.0 million in additional contributions to the PNM Good Neighbor Fund and $25.0 million for innovative technologies as part of the merger benefits. TNMP customers will receive $35.0 million in rate credits over four years and benefit from $10.0 million in economic development funding and $5.0 million in additional community support. PNM's 2025 Rate Request approval will lead to increased retail rates. Grid modernization and energy efficiency programs aim to improve service, affordability, and access to clean energy, particularly for low-income customers.
  • Employees: Face uncertainty regarding their roles after the merger. The company has an employee crisis management fund to support those affected by natural disasters.
  • Communities: Will benefit from significant economic development funding ($35.0 million for PNM, $10.0 million for TNMP) and increased charitable giving as part of the merger. The company maintains strong community involvement, including wildfire safety initiatives, the Light up Navajo project, and partnerships with tribal nations and universities.
  • Suppliers/Vendors/Partners: May experience disruptions or defer new contracts due to the uncertainty surrounding the merger.
  • Creditors: The merger constitutes a Change of Control under certain debt agreements, requiring lender consents or refinancing. The company's commitment to maintaining investment-grade credit ratings aims to ensure continued access to capital markets.

Next Steps

  • TXNM to obtain remaining regulatory approvals for the Merger (PUCT, NMPRC, FERC, NRC, HSR).
  • TXNM to coordinate with lenders to amend Change of Control definition or refinance/enter new debt agreements prior to Merger closing.
  • TNMP to make another offer to prepay remaining outstanding FMBs ($420.7 million) within 30 business days of Merger closing.
  • PNM to seek recovery of EDAM costs in a future rate case.
  • PNM to continue monitoring and abatement activities at Santa Fe Generating Station until groundwater meets standards or NMED determines remediation is not required.
  • PNM to work with experienced consultants to design and conduct site investigations and groundwater modeling to develop the SJGS S1AP proposal (due November 26, 2025).
  • PNM to conduct a two-part evaluation of historic and current CCRMUs at SJGS, with reports due February 9, 2026, and February 8, 2027.
  • PNM to continue gathering additional groundwater data and performing remedial evaluations and activities at Four Corners CCR disposal units.
  • PNM expects to host similar wildfire safety events in 2026.
  • PNM to file its 2026 IRP by September 1, 2026.
  • PNM to file and present its evaluation of RFP bids for 2029-2032 new energy resources by January 9, 2026.
  • The NMPRC is expected to rule on the Meta special service contract application during a future open meeting.
  • TNMP expects to make its first comprehensive filing under Section 36.216 in 2026.
  • TNMP's second 2025 DCRF case is pending review by the PUCT.
  • TNMP's request to adjust EECRF for 2026 is pending review by the PUCT.
  • EPA intends to finalize the proposed rule on GHG emission standards by the end of 2025.
  • EPA anticipates a proposed rule for the PM standard in January 2026 with a final rule expected in October 2026.
  • EPA anticipates a final rule for a federal permitting program for CCR handling within Native American reservations in December 2026.
  • EPA to develop regulatory changes on the implementation and structure of the Regional Haze Rule (comments due December 1, 2025).
  • The New Mexico Environmental Improvement Board is expected to deliver a final rule on the regional haze SIP on November 21, 2025.
  • The Company will continue to monitor the United States' move to withdraw from the Paris Agreement.
  • The Company will continue to monitor developments regarding California's climate-related disclosure laws.

Key Dates

DateDescription
September 2017PNMR Development and AEP OnSite Partners created NMRD.
November 1997The DC Circuit issued a decision preventing the DOE from excusing its own delay in opening a permanent repository for spent nuclear fuel.
1998The DOE was required to open a permanent repository for spent nuclear fuel.
2005TXNM acquired TNP Enterprises, Inc. and Subsidiaries.
July 7, 2005TNMP Articles of Incorporation were amended.
2007TNMP assets in New Mexico, including goodwill, were transferred to PNM.
2007PNM began offering comprehensive energy efficiency and load management programs.
May 18, 2008EPA published the final rule to retain the current primary health-based NOx standards.
August 3, 2015EPA established Carbon Pollution Standards.
December 12, 2015The Paris Agreement was adopted.
2015EPA issued the final Steam Electric Effluent Limitation Guidelines (ELG) rule.
2015EPA issued Carbon Pollution Standards for new, modified, and reconstructed power plants.
2015EPA issued the Clean Power Plan for existing power plants.
2015EPA finalized new ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS), lowering the 8-hour standard from 75 to 70 parts per billion.
2015EPA's coal ash rule included a non-hazardous waste determination for coal ash.
August 27, 2015PNM filed its NM 2015 Rate Case.
January 4, 2016The final Steam Electric ELG rule became effective.
2016The Water Infrastructure Improvements for the Nation Act (WIIN Act) was signed into law.
December 7, 2016PNM filed its NM 2016 Rate Case.
December 31, 2017Restructuring of the San Juan Generating Station (SJGS) ownership occurred.
January 1, 2018The earliest date for compliance with ELG for regulated waste streams was set (later postponed to November 1, 2020).
May 18, 2018The NOx standard rule became effective.
May 30, 2018TNMP filed its TNMP 2018 Rate Case Application.
2019EPA repealed the Clean Power Plan and promulgated the Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) Rule.
2019EPA announced its final decision to retain the SO2 NAAQS without changes.
2019EPA issued findings that several states, including New Mexico, failed to submit interstate transport State Implementation Plans (SIPs) for the 2015 8-hour ozone NAAQS.
2019EPA published a proposed rule revising the original ELG.
2019PNM received notice from NMED that an abatement plan for the Santa Fe Generating Station is required.
2019PNM piloted the Light up Navajo project.
January 1, 2019The TNMP 2018 Rate Case reduction in customer rates became effective.
June 18, 2013TNMP Bylaws were amended.
July 13, 2020EPA proposed to retain the existing ozone NAAQS.
August 2020The WFB LOC Facility was entered into.
September 30, 2020The Environmental Appeals Board (EAB) denied a petition for review of the Four Corners NPDES permit.
November 4, 2020The U.S. officially withdrew from the Paris Agreement.
November 9, 2020The Four Corners NPDES permit was issued.
December 1, 2020The Four Corners NPDES permit became effective.
January 19, 2021The DC Circuit vacated the ACE Rule.
January 20, 2021President Biden signed an executive order addressing climate change.
January 20, 2021President Biden signed an instrument to rejoin the Paris Agreement.
January 21, 2021The instrument to rejoin the Paris Agreement was deposited with the United Nations.
January 22, 2021Environmental groups filed a petition for review of the EAB's decision with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit.
February 19, 2021The U.S. officially became a party to the Paris Agreement.
April 5, 2021PNM and Salt River Project entered into an Asset Purchase and Sale Agreement.
April 11, 2021The deadline for operators of unlined impoundments to cease waste receipt and initiate closure.
April 22, 2021At the Earth Day Summit, President Biden unveiled the goal to cut U.S. emissions by 50%-52% from 2005 levels by 2030.
June 18, 2021The Community Solar Act became effective.
July 27, 2021The New Mexico Environment Department (NMED) submitted a Good Neighbor SIP.
October 13, 2021The earliest date for compliance with new ELG limits (no later than December 31, 2025).
November 9, 2021The San Juan County Commission approved the Coal-Fired Electricity Generating Facility Demolition and Remediation Ordinance (Ordinance 121).
March 21, 2022EPA provided notice of a proposed settlement agreement with environmental groups regarding the Four Corners NPDES permit.
May 2, 2022A settlement agreement was executed regarding the Four Corners NPDES permit.
June 30, 2022The U.S. Supreme Court held that the generation shifting approach in the Clean Power Plan exceeded EPA powers.
July 1, 2022PNM Bylaws were amended.
August 30, 2022EPA published a Finding of Failure to Submit for states, including New Mexico, for the round 2 regional haze SIP.
September 2022A new decommissioning cost study for SJGS was completed, resulting in a $21.1 million decrease in the estimated obligation.
October 2022PNM filed its Grid Modernization Plan with the NMPRC.
December 5, 2022PNM filed its 2024 Rate Change application.
December 28, 2022SJGS owners submitted the decommissioning and remediation plan.
2022PNM joined EPRIs Climate READi program.
2022PNM implemented its first Transportation Electrification Program (TEP).
January 1, 2023A CO2 emissions limit of 1,100 lbs. per MWh began for new and existing coal-fired Electric Generating Units (EGUs).
January 2023PVNGS Unit 1 leases expired, and the associated sale to Salt River Project closed.
March 15, 2023EPA Administrator Regan signed a final action imposing a Federal Implementation Plan (FIP) on multiple states (excluding New Mexico).
March 29, 2023EPA published the proposed ELG Rule in the Federal Register.
April 2023PNM began using its mine reclamation trust to pay for final mine reclamation costs.
April 2023PNM joined the Western Resource Adequacy Program (WRAP).
June 1, 2023PNM filed its 2024-2026 TEP with the NMPRC.
July 17, 2023Comments were due on the proposed ELG Rule.
July 2023The work plan for 2023 Corrective Action Fund (CAF) work was completed and submitted to NMED.
August 21, 2023EPA announced a new review of the ozone standard.
August 25, 2023PNM Energy Transition Bond Company I, LLC (ETBC I) was formed.
September 1, 2023TNMP's first 2023 Distribution Cost Recovery Factor (DCRF) became effective.
November 15, 2023ETBC I issued $343.2 million aggregate principal amount of its senior secured energy transition bonds, Series A.
December 1, 2023EPA issued a modification to the Four Corners NPDES permit.
December 4, 2023The Company entered into a retention agreement with its President and Chief Operating Officer.
December 15, 2023PNM filed its 2023 Integrated Resource Plan (IRP).
December 2023The TXNM Board approved a 5.4% increase in the annual common stock dividend.
December 2023NMED approved the 2023 CAF work plan.
December 31, 2023The Four Corners NPDES permit modification became effective.
January 1, 2024The most recent adjustment to the Price-Anderson Nuclear Industries Indemnity Act took effect.
January 3, 2024The NMPRC issued a final order authorizing PNM to implement a $15.3 million increase in non-fuel base rates.
January 26, 2024The hearing examiners issued a Recommended Decision (RD) for PNM's 2024 Plan.
January 2024PVNGS Unit 2 leases expired, and the associated sale to Salt River Project closed.
February 2, 2024The hearing examiners issued an RD for PNM's 2024-2026 TEP.
February 16, 2024EPA published a proposed rule partially disapproving SIPs for New Mexico and four other states.
February 23, 2024The NMPRC approved the RD for PNM's 2024-2026 TEP with modifications.
February 27, 2024PNMR Development and AEP OnSite Partners sold their respective interests in NMRD.
March 1, 2024TNMP's Energy Efficiency Cost Recovery Factor (EECRF) became effective.
March 7, 2024The NMPRC approved the RD for PNM's 2024 Plan.
March 15, 2024TNMP's Transmission Cost of Service (TCOS) rate increase became effective.
March 26, 2024EPA announced the opening of a non-regulatory docket for GHG regulation of existing gas combustion turbines.
March 28, 2024TNMP entered into the TNMP 2024 Bond Purchase Agreement.
April 1, 2024TXNM performed annual goodwill impairment evaluations.
April 4, 2024The NMPRC accepted PNM's 2023 IRP.
April 8, 2024The Board elected to convert the unvested portion of the President and COO's retention bonus into restricted stock rights.
April 26, 2024PNM's TEP rider became effective.
May 3, 202419,851 restricted stock rights were awarded to the President and COO.
May 6, 2024TXNM entered into a distribution agreement for the TXNM 2024 ATM Program.
May 9, 2024EPA published a final rule to further revise the ELG.
May 10, 2024PNM entered into a $200.0 million term loan agreement (the PNM 2024 Term Loan).
May 28, 2024The public comment period closed for EPA's non-regulatory docket on GHG regulation of existing gas combustion turbines.
May 31, 2024TNMP filed a request to adjust the EECRF for 2025.
June 3, 2024PNM remarketed Pollution Control Revenue Bonds (PCRBs) aggregating $198.0 million.
June 10, 2024TXNM issued $500.0 million Convertible Notes.
June 14, 2024PNM filed an application for its 2025 Rate Request.
June 21, 2024TXNM issued an additional $50.0 million Convertible Notes.
July 1, 2024TNMP issued the third and fourth series of TNMP 2024 Bonds.
July 8, 2024Hurricane Beryl made landfall in the Texas Gulf Coast.
July 28, 2024TNMP's DCRF became effective.
August 2, 2024PNM Resources, Inc. amended its Articles of Incorporation to change its name to TXNM Energy, Inc.
August 5, 2024TXNM amended the distribution agreement for the TXNM 2024 ATM Program, increasing the aggregate sales amount to $300.0 million.
August 28, 2024TNMP filed its first System Resiliency Plan (SRP) with the Public Utility Commission of Texas (PUCT).
September 16, 2024The Company's newly appointed General Counsel, Senior Vice President Regulatory and Public Policy, and Corporate Secretary was awarded 9,300 shares of restricted stock.
September 20, 2024TNMP's TCOS rate increase became effective.
September 30, 2024The sale of AEP OnSite Partners LLC was completed.
October 17, 2024The NMPRC issued a final order largely approving PNM's Grid Modernization Plan.
October 24, 2024The PUCT approved TNMP's EECRF for 2025.
November 17, 2024TNMP's DCRF became effective.
November 22, 2024PNM filed its 2028 Resource Application.
November 26, 2024PNM filed an unopposed comprehensive stipulation with the NMPRC for its 2025 Rate Request.
December 6, 2024The DC Circuit heard oral arguments on challenges to EPA's 2024 Clean Air Act Section 111 rules.
December 11, 2024TNMP filed an unopposed settlement with the PUCT for its SRP.
December 2024A coal mine reclamation study for Four Corners was completed.
December 2024The TXNM Board approved a 5.2% increase in the annual common stock dividend.
December 30, 2024TXNM physically settled shares under the TXNM 2024 ATM Program.
December 30, 2024PNM issued its 2029-2032 Request for Proposal (RFP).
January 20, 2025President Trump issued executive orders directing a review of agency actions and withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
January 21, 2025PNM entered into a $195.0 million term loan agreement (the PNM 2025 Term Loan).
January 2025Accounting Standards Update (ASU) 2025-01 was issued.
February 14, 2025TNMP entered into the TNMP February 2025 Bond Purchase Agreement.
February 17, 2025A hearing was held for PNM's 2025 Rate Request.
February 18, 2025A hearing was held for PNM's 2025 Rate Request.
February 2025The Board ratified performance-based shares for the 2022-2024 performance measurement period.
February 28, 2025TXNM filed a shelf registration.
March 1, 2025TNMP's EECRF became effective.
March 3, 2025NMED submitted a final revised regional haze SIP to the New Mexico Environmental Improvement Board.
March 6, 2025The final rule lowering the primary annual PM 2.5 NAAQS to 9 ug/m3 was published.
March 10, 2025EPA filed a motion for voluntary remand of its ozone interstate transport FIP.
March 12, 2025PNM and intervening parties filed an unopposed comprehensive stipulation for the 2028 Resource Application.
March 12, 2025EPA announced reconsideration of the Regional Haze Program and ELGs.
March 12, 2025TNMP filed a refund claim with the Texas Comptroller's office for overpaid sales and use taxes.
March 14, 2025PNM filed its first CO2 Emissions Measurement and Compliance Annual Report.
March 25, 2025TNMP's TCOS rate increase became effective.
March 26, 2025TNMP received the final order from the PUCT for its SRP.
April 1, 2025TXNM performed annual goodwill impairment evaluations.
April 8, 2025The hearing examiners issued a certification of stipulation recommending approval of PNM's 2025 Rate Request.
April 23, 2025PNM issued PNM April 2025 Senior Unsecured Notes (SUNs).
April 28, 2025The New Mexico Environmental Improvement Board held a public hearing on the regional haze SIP.
April 30, 2025The New Mexico Environmental Improvement Board held a public hearing on the regional haze SIP.
May 6, 2025The hearing examiners issued a certification of stipulation recommending approval of PNM's 2028 Resource Application.
May 6, 2024The PM 2.5 NAAQS final rule became effective.
May 15, 2025The NMPRC issued a final order adopting the unopposed stipulation for PNM's 2025 Rate Request.
May 16, 2025TXNM paid the remaining balance due under its TXNM 2021 Delayed Draw Term Loan.
May 18, 2025TXNM, Parent, and Merger Sub entered into the Merger Agreement.
May 18, 2025TXNM entered into the TXNM Merger Backstop Revolving Facility.
May 18, 2025TNMP entered into the TNMP Merger Backstop Term Loan.
May 18, 2025TXNM entered into the May 2025 Stock Purchase Agreement.
May 19, 2025TXNM borrowed approximately $4.0 million under the TXNM Merger Backstop Revolving Facility.
May 21, 2025TXNM repaid the entire balance under the TXNM Merger Backstop Revolving Facility.
May 23, 2025TXNM and TNMP entered into Lender Consents.
May 23, 2025The TXNM Merger Backstop Revolving Facility expired.
May 27, 2025TXNM physically settled all shares under the TXNM 2024 ATM Program.
May 30, 2025PNM filed its application for its 2026 renewable energy procurement plan.
May 30, 2025TNMP filed its request to adjust the EECRF for 2026.
June 2, 2025Consummation of the May 2025 Stock Purchase Agreement occurred.
June 13, 2025PNM filed an application with the NMPRC for an amended special service contract with Meta Platforms Inc.
June 14, 2025TNMP's Offer to prepay First Mortgage Bonds (FMBs) expired.
June 17, 2025EPA published a proposed rule with alternatives to repeal or revise GHG emission standards for EGUs.
June 20, 2025Texas House Bill 5247 (HB 5247) was signed into law by Governor Gregg Abbott.
June 20, 2025PNM filed its first annual Grid Modernization Plan review.
June 24, 2025TXNM entered into the June 2025 Stock Purchase Agreement.
June 24, 2025Holders of validly tendered TNMP FMBs received prepayment.
June 26, 2025The NMPRC approved the unopposed stipulation for PNM's 2028 Resource Application.
June 27, 2025The closing of the issuance under the June 2025 Stock Purchase Agreement occurred.
June 29, 2025TNMP's DCRF became effective.
July 1, 2025The first phase of PNM's 2025 Rate Request became effective.
July 1, 2025TXNM terminated all treasury lock agreements.
July 3, 2025A procedural order was issued for the Meta special service contract application.
July 4, 2025The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 (OBBBA) was enacted.
July 21, 2025TNMP entered into the TNMP July 2025 Bond Purchase Agreement.
July 21, 2025TNMP issued the TNMP July 2025 FMBs.
July 21, 2025The TNMP Merger Backstop Term Loan was repaid and terminated.
July 25, 2025PNM amended its PNM New Mexico Credit Facility.
July 29, 2025PNM received a letter from NMED requiring a Stage 1 Abatement Plan (S1AP) proposal for SJGS.
July 31, 2025PNM entered into the PNM July 2025 Note Purchase Agreement.
July 31, 2025PNM issued PNM July 2025 SUNs.
August 1, 2025EPA published a proposal to rescind the Agency's 2009 final rule commonly known as the Endangerment Finding.
August 6, 2025PNM filed an application with the NMPRC for approval of a Certificate of Convenience and Necessity (CCN) to construct, own, and operate 30 MWs of energy storage (BESS Project).
August 8, 2025TXNM registered shares for resale from the June 2025 Stock Purchase Agreement.
August 15, 2025TXNM entered into a distribution agreement for the TXNM 2025 ATM Program.
August 15, 2025TXNM began selling shares under the TXNM 2025 ATM Program.
August 18, 2025TXNM sold 209,990 shares under the TXNM 2025 ATM Program.
August 19, 2025TXNM sold 18,500, 200,000, and 200,000 shares under the TXNM 2025 ATM Program.
August 20, 2025TXNM sold 1,000,000 shares under the TXNM 2025 ATM Program.
August 21, 2025TXNM sold 64,016 and 1,500,000 shares under the TXNM 2025 ATM Program.
August 22, 2025PNM filed an application with the NMPRC requesting approval to create a regulatory asset for Extended Day Ahead Market (EDAM) costs.
August 22, 2025TXNM sold 135,327 shares under the TXNM 2025 ATM Program.
August 25, 2025TXNM filed applications for Merger approval with the NMPRC, PUCT, and FERC.
August 25, 2025TXNM sold 41,408 and 118,819 shares under the TXNM 2025 ATM Program.
August 26, 2025TXNM sold 54,317 shares under the TXNM 2025 ATM Program.
August 28, 2025TXNM held a special meeting of shareholders, approving the Merger.
August 29, 2025TXNM paid the remaining balance due under its TXNM 2023 Term Loan, terminating the agreement.
September 15, 2025Comments were due on EPA's proposed rule to repeal/revise GHG emission standards and proposal to rescind the Endangerment Finding.
September 19, 2025TNMP's TCOS rate increase became effective.
September 22, 2025TNMP received the requested sales and use tax refund.
September 25, 2025The NM Supreme Court issued a ruling rejecting the consolidated appeal and upholding the NMPRC's final order for the 2024 Rate Change.
September 25, 2025The Hearing Examiners issued an RD recommending approval of PNM's 2026 renewable energy procurement plan.
September 30, 2025End of the reporting period.
October 2, 2025EPA published an advanced notice of proposed rulemaking to solicit information for the Regional Haze Rule.
October 2, 2025EPA published proposed and direct final rules for the extension of deadlines and other provisions for ELG.
October 16, 2025The NMPRC approved an accounting order for PNM's EDAM costs.
October 21, 2025A prehearing conference was held for the Meta special service contract application.
October 24, 2025Shares of common stock outstanding for TXNM were 108,921,356; for PNM were 39,117,799; and for TNMP were 6,358.
October 28, 2025PNM notified the Western Power Pool of its election to withdraw from WRAP.
October 30, 2025The NMPRC issued a Final Order approving PNM's 2026 renewable energy procurement plan.
October 31, 2025Date of filing for the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
November 3, 2025Comments are due on EPA's proposed and direct final rules for ELG.
November 10, 2025The PNM 2024 Term Loan is due.
November 21, 2025The New Mexico Environmental Improvement Board is expected to deliver a final rule on the regional haze SIP.
November 26, 2025PNM's request to delay the S1AP submission for SJGS was approved.
December 1, 2025Comments are due on EPA's advanced notice of proposed rulemaking for the Regional Haze Rule.
December 15, 2025The DC Circuit agreed to hold the Legacy Rule case in abeyance.
December 31, 2025EPA intends to finalize the proposed rule on GHG emission standards.
December 31, 2025The PNM settlement agreement with APS for PVNGS claims ends.
January 2026EPA anticipates a proposed rule for the PM standard.
January 9, 2026PNM's deadline to file and present its evaluation of RFP bids for 2029-2032 new energy resources.
February 9, 2026The Independent Monitor (IM) is expected to issue a final report for PNM's 2029-2032 RFP.
March 6, 2026EPA will designate attainment/nonattainment areas for PM 2.5 NAAQS.
July 21, 2026The PNM 2025 Term Loan is due.
September 1, 2026PNM's 2026 IRP filing date.
October 1, 2026PNM's 0.875% PCRBs have a mandatory tender date.
October 2026EPA expects a final rule for ELG.
Second half of 2026The Merger is currently expected to close.
December 31, 2026The End Date for the Merger Agreement (with potential extension).
March 6, 2027States will submit a SIP to EPA for PM 2.5 NAAQS.
Fall 2027PNM plans to join the Extended Day Ahead Market (EDAM).
December 2027The PVNGS initial operating license period ends.
February 2028TXNM's shelf registration statement expires.
May 2028PNM's Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) to purchase electricity from Valencia ends.
May 2026PNM's shelf registration statement expires.
November 2047The PVNGS extended operation period ends.
2040PNM's goal for a 100% carbon-free generating portfolio.
2045New Mexico's Energy Transition Act (ETA) requirement for 100% zero-carbon energy.
2050President Biden's goal of a net-zero emissions economy.

Recommendation

hold

The company's earnings performance for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, shows a notable decline compared to the prior year, primarily due to increased operating expenses, depreciation, and interest charges, alongside some unfavorable weather impacts for PNM. While TNMP shows strong utility margin growth driven by rate relief and load, the consolidated picture is weaker. The pending merger with Blackstone Infrastructure, while approved by shareholders, still faces significant regulatory hurdles and associated risks, creating uncertainty. The substantial capital expenditure plans for grid modernization and clean energy transition are positive long-term strategic moves, supported by regulatory approvals for rate recovery, but their full financial benefits are yet to be realized. Given the mixed financial results, the ongoing regulatory complexities, and the inherent uncertainties of a large-scale merger, a 'Hold' recommendation is appropriate for a seasoned investor. The stock is not a 'Strong Buy' due to the earnings decline and merger risks, nor a 'Sell' given the strategic long-term investments and regulatory support for future growth.

Keywords

Utility, Electric, Energy, Power, New Mexico, Texas, PNM, TNMP, TXNM, Blackstone, Merger, Acquisition, SEC Filing, 10-Q, Quarterly Report, Financial Results, Earnings, Revenue, Capital Expenditures, Regulatory, Rate Case, Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy, Carbon-Free, Climate Change, ESG, Infrastructure, Transmission, Distribution, Debt, Liquidity, Shareholder, Risk Factors

Disclaimer:The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, recommendation, or endorsement of any kind. It may contain errors or omissions. You should not rely on this information to make financial decisions. Always seek the advice of a qualified financial professional before making any investment or financial decisions. Use of this information is at your own risk.