10-Q: Pinnacle West Reports Q1 2025 Results: Earnings Impacted by Higher Expenses, Partially Offset by New Rates

Sentiment:

Quarterly Report


Pinnacle West's Q1 2025 earnings were negatively impacted by increased expenses and lower other income, despite revenue growth and benefits from new rates.

Capital raisePinnacle West has an at-the-market equity distribution program (the ATM Program) under which Pinnacle West may offer and sell Pinnacle West common stock and enter into forward sale agreements from time to time, subject to market conditions and other factors.As of March 31, 2025, approximately $800 million of common stock is available to be issued under the ATM Program, which takes into account the forward sale agreements in effect as of March 31, 2025.Pinnacle West also has forward sale agreements from an equity offering in February 2024 in effect as of March 31, 2025.
Worse than expectedPinnacle West's Q1 2025 net income attributable to common shareholders decreased compared to Q1 2024 due to higher expenses and lower other income.

Summary

  • Pinnacle West Capital Corporation reported a net loss attributable to common shareholders of $4.6 million for the first quarter of 2025, compared to a net income of $16.9 million in the same period of 2024.
  • The decrease in earnings was primarily due to higher operations and maintenance expenses, increased depreciation and amortization, lower pension credits, reduced other income due to the absence of a gain on the sale of Bright Canyon Energy (BCE) that occurred in the prior year, and higher interest charges.
  • These negative impacts were partially offset by the favorable effects of new customer rates, a gain from a non-utility equity investment by El Dorado, lower income taxes, and increased transmission and Lost Fixed Cost Recovery Mechanism (LFCR) revenue.
  • Operating revenues increased to $1.03 billion from $951.7 million in the prior year, driven by new rates and customer growth.
  • APS, the primary subsidiary, also experienced a decrease in net income attributable to the common shareholder, reporting $0.3 million compared to $15.1 million in the prior year.
  • APS's retail customers increased 2.3% and weather-adjusted retail electricity sales increased 2.1% compared to the prior-year period.
  • The company projects annual customer growth to be 1.5% to 2.5% for 2025 and the average annual growth to be in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% through 2027.
  • The company projects that annual retail electricity sales in kWh will increase in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% for 2025 and that average annual growth will be in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% through 2027, excluding the effects of weather variations.
  • Capital expenditures are estimated at $2.4 billion for 2025, $2.55 billion for 2026, and $2.65 billion for 2027.
  • APS expects to file an application with the ACC for its next general rate case mid-year 2025.

Sentiment

Score: 5

Explanation: The sentiment is neutral. While revenue increased, earnings decreased due to higher expenses. The company is navigating a complex environment with both opportunities and challenges.

Positives

  • Operating revenues increased to $1.03 billion from $951.7 million in the prior year, driven by new rates and customer growth.
  • APS retail customers increased 2.3% and weather-adjusted retail electricity sales increased 2.1% compared to the prior-year period.
  • The company projects annual customer growth to be 1.5% to 2.5% for 2025 and the average annual growth to be in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% through 2027.
  • The company projects that annual retail electricity sales in kWh will increase in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% for 2025 and that average annual growth will be in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% through 2027, excluding the effects of weather variations.
  • Lower income taxes due to lower pretax income and higher tax benefits related to employee benefits.
  • Higher transmission and Lost Fixed Cost Recovery Mechanism (LFCR) revenue.

Negatives

  • Pinnacle West reported a net loss attributable to common shareholders of $4.6 million in Q1 2025, a decrease from the $16.9 million net income in Q1 2024.
  • Operations and maintenance expenses increased by $42 million year-over-year.
  • Depreciation and amortization expenses were $25 million higher for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to increased plant in service and intangible assets.
  • Pension and other postretirement non-service credits, net were $9 million lower for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the prior-year period primarily due to prior-service credits becoming fully amortized as of January 31, 2025.
  • Other income and expenses, net were $9 million lower for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to the prior-year period, primarily due to the gain on the sale of BCE recognized during the first quarter of 2024 and lower PSA interest income.

Risks

  • The company's ability to successfully execute its clean energy commitment depends upon a number of important external factors, including a supportive regulatory environment, sales and customer growth, development of clean energy technologies, and continued access to capital markets.
  • The company is monitoring the status of environmental matters, which, depending on their final outcome, could require modification to our planned environmental expenditures.
  • The company is monitoring the executive orders and related regulatory actions related to coal.
  • The company is exploring available options for securing sufficient electric generation and transmission to meet projections of future customer needs.
  • The potential for enactment of federal tax reform legislation, including modification or repeal of some or all of the IRA tax provisions, has increased.
  • The company is subject to risks related to market fluctuations in the commodity price and transportation costs of electricity and natural gas.

Future Outlook

The company projects annual customer growth to be 1.5% to 2.5% for 2025 and the average annual growth to be in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% through 2027. The company projects that annual retail electricity sales in kWh will increase in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% for 2025 and that average annual growth will be in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% through 2027, excluding the effects of weather variations.

Industry Context

The report reflects the ongoing challenges and opportunities in the utility sector, including balancing clean energy goals with reliability and affordability, managing regulatory relationships, and adapting to changing customer demands and economic conditions. The company's focus on renewable energy, energy storage, and grid modernization aligns with broader industry trends.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • The report does not provide enough information to make a detailed comparison to industry standards.
  • A full comparison would require a peer group analysis including companies such as Edison International, Sempra Energy, and NextEra Energy, assessing metrics like ROE, debt-to-equity ratios, and operating margins.
  • Additionally, benchmarking against specific renewable energy targets and grid modernization investments would provide further context.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Customers may see changes in their electricity bills due to rate adjustments and surcharges.
  • Shareholders are impacted by the company's financial performance and dividend payouts.
  • Employees are affected by the company's strategic decisions and investments in clean energy and technology.
  • Communities are impacted by the company's environmental practices and community engagement initiatives.

Next Steps

  • APS expects to file an application with the ACC for its next general rate case mid-year 2025.
  • APS is evaluating its compliance options for Four Corners based on the ELG regulations finalized in April 2024 and is assessing what impacts the new standards will have on our financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows.
  • APS is currently evaluating the impacts of this final regulation on its business, with initial CCRMU site surveys due to be completed by February 2026 and final site investigation reports to be finalized by February 2027.

Key Dates

DateDescription
2014Bright Canyon Energy Corporation (BCE) was formed.
2017-11-29The Navajo Plant co-owners and the Navajo Nation executed a lease extension that allows for decommissioning activities to begin after the plant ceased operations.
2019-10-31APS filed an application with the ACC (the 2019 Rate Case) for an annual increase in retail base rates.
2019-11The Navajo Plant ceased operations.
2020-12PacifiCorp notified APS that it planned to retire Cholla Unit 4 by the end of 2020 and the unit ceased operation in December 2020.
2022-02-28EPA provided APS with a request for information under CERCLA related to APSs Ocotillo power plant site located in Tempe, Arizona.
2022-10-28APS filed an application with the ACC (the 2022 Rate Case) seeking an increase in annual retail base rates.
2023-08-04Pinnacle West entered into a purchase and sale agreement pursuant to which all of our equity interest in BCE was sold.
2024-01-12The sale of BCE was completed.
2024-02-28Pinnacle West entered into equity forward sale agreements (the February 2024 Forward Sale Agreements), which may be settled with Pinnacle West common stock or cash.
2024-03-05The ACC issued the final order for the 2022 Rate Case, with the new rates becoming effective for all service rendered on or after March 8, 2024.
2024-04-15The ACC granted, in part, the rehearing applications of the Attorney General, Arizona Solar Energy Industries Association (AriSEIA), Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA), and Vote Solar specifically to review whether the GAC rate is just and reasonable.
2024-11-08Pinnacle West entered into an equity distribution sales agreement, pursuant to which Pinnacle West may sell, from time to time, up to $900 million of its common stock through an at-the-market (ATM) equity distribution program, which includes the ability to enter into forward sale agreements.
2024-12-05APS entered into a $400 million 364-Day Term Loan Agreement that matures on December 4, 2025.
2024-12-17The ACC approved the Limited Rehearing ROO with an amendment that requires APS in its next rate case to propose a revenue allocation based on a site-load cost of service study in order to bring further parity in revenue collection between solar and non-solar customers.
2025-03-08APS filed conforming LFCR schedules to incorporate changes required as a result of Decision No. 79293 in the 2022 Rate Case.
2025-03-17APSs Cholla plant ceased operations.
2025-03-28The Residential Utility Consumer Office filed a lawsuit challenging the ACCs authority to issue the formula rate policy statement outside of Arizonas formula rulemaking process.
2025-04-29APS drew the full amount of $400 million from the 364-Day Term Loan Agreement.
2025-05-01Date of report.

Keywords

Pinnacle West, Arizona Public Service, APS, Earnings, Financial Results, Net Loss, Revenue, Expenses, Customer Growth, Electricity Sales, Capital Expenditures, Regulatory Matters, Clean Energy, Renewable Energy, Energy Storage, Rate Case, Power Supply Adjustor, Lost Fixed Cost Recovery Mechanism, Coal Community Transition, Wildfire Mitigation

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