PEP.NASDAQPepsico INC

8-K: Beverage and Snack Giant Navigates Challenging Environment, Affirms Annual Guidance

Sentiment:

Quarterly Report


PepsiCo, Inc. reported second-quarter 2025 results, affirming its full-year 2025 financial guidance while noting improved core USD EPS outlook due to moderating foreign exchange headwinds.

Worse than expectedReported (GAAP) diluted EPS decreased by 59% in Q2 2025 and 39% year-to-date compared to the prior year.Reported (GAAP) Operating Profit decreased by 56% in Q2 2025 and 35% year-to-date compared to the prior year.These significant declines are primarily attributable to $1,860 million in impairment charges related to the Rockstar and Be & Cheery brands.

Summary

  • Reported (GAAP) Net Revenue for the second quarter of 2025 was $22,726 million, a 1.0% increase compared to the prior year, while year-to-date net revenue was $40,645 million, a 0.3% decrease.
  • Reported (GAAP) Earnings Per Share (EPS) for the second quarter of 2025 was $0.92, a 59% decrease from the prior year, and year-to-date EPS was $2.25, a 39% decrease.
  • Organic revenue performance (non-GAAP) increased by 2.1% in the second quarter of 2025 and 1.7% year-to-date.
  • Core EPS (non-GAAP) was $2.12 for the second quarter of 2025 and $3.59 year-to-date.
  • Core constant currency EPS (non-GAAP) decreased by 5% in the second quarter of 2025 and 4.5% year-to-date.
  • Impairment charges of $1,860 million were recognized for the Rockstar and Be & Cheery brands during the 12 and 24 weeks ended June 14, 2025.
  • The company affirmed its fiscal 2025 guidance, expecting low-single-digit organic revenue growth and core constant currency EPS to be approximately even with the prior year.
  • The foreign exchange translation headwind for reported net revenue and core EPS growth is now expected to be approximately 1.5 percentage points (previously 3 percentage points).
  • This implies a 1.5% decline in core EPS in 2025 compared to the 2024 core EPS of $8.16.
  • Total cash returns to shareholders for 2025 are expected to be approximately $8.6 billion, consisting of $7.6 billion in dividends and $1.0 billion in share repurchases.

Sentiment

Score: 4

Explanation: While organic revenue growth and affirmed future guidance provide some stability and a positive outlook on core performance, the significant GAAP declines in EPS and operating profit, driven by substantial impairment charges, indicate underlying challenges and a negative impact on reported profitability. The improved foreign exchange outlook is a positive, but it does not fully offset the reported declines.

Positives

  • Net revenue growth accelerated in the second quarter of 2025 compared to the previous quarter, with 1.0% GAAP reported growth and 2.1% organic growth.
  • International business momentum continued to be strong.
  • North America businesses improved their execution and competitiveness in key subcategories and channels.
  • Full-year 2025 financial guidance for low-single-digit organic revenue growth and core constant currency EPS approximately even with the prior year was affirmed.
  • The core USD EPS outlook improved due to moderating foreign exchange headwinds, now expecting an approximate 1.5-percentage-point negative impact instead of the previously anticipated 3-percentage-point headwind.
  • The company plans to return approximately $8.6 billion to shareholders in 2025, including $7.6 billion in dividends and $1.0 billion in share repurchases.

Negatives

  • Reported (GAAP) diluted EPS significantly decreased by 59% to $0.92 in Q2 2025 from $2.23 in the prior year, and by 39% to $2.25 year-to-date from $3.71 in the prior year.
  • Reported (GAAP) Operating Profit sharply declined by 56% to $1,789 million in Q2 2025 from $4,048 million in the prior year, and by 35% to $4,372 million year-to-date from $6,765 million in the prior year.
  • Impairment charges totaling $1,860 million were recognized for the Rockstar and Be & Cheery brands.
  • Core constant currency EPS experienced a decline of 5% in Q2 2025 and 4.5% year-to-date.
  • Year-to-date GAAP net revenue saw a slight decrease of 0.3%.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities for the 24 weeks ended June 14, 2025, decreased to $996 million from $1,315 million in the comparable prior-year period.
  • Net cash used for investing activities significantly increased to $(4,127) million from $(1,454) million, primarily driven by $3,130 million in acquisitions, net of cash acquired, investments in noncontrolled affiliates, and purchases of intangible and other assets.

Risks

  • Future demand for products.
  • Damage to reputation or brand image.
  • Product recalls or other issues or concerns with respect to product quality and safety.
  • Ability to compete effectively.
  • Ability to attract, develop and maintain a highly skilled workforce or effectively manage changes in the workforce.
  • Water scarcity.
  • Changes in the retail landscape or in sales to any key customer.
  • Disruption of manufacturing operations or supply chain, including increased commodity, packaging, transportation, labor and other input costs.
  • Political, social or geopolitical conditions in the markets where products are made, manufactured, distributed or sold.
  • Ability to grow business in developing and emerging markets.
  • Changes in economic conditions in the countries in which operations are conducted.
  • Changes in tariffs and global trade relations.
  • Future cyber incidents and other disruptions to information systems.
  • Failure to successfully complete or manage strategic transactions.
  • Reliance on third-party service providers and enterprise-wide systems.
  • Climate change or measures to address climate change and other sustainability matters.
  • Strikes or work stoppages.
  • Failure to realize benefits from productivity initiatives or organizational restructurings.
  • Deterioration in estimates and underlying assumptions regarding future performance of business or investments that can result in impairment charges.
  • Fluctuations or other changes in exchange rates.
  • Any downgrade or potential downgrade of credit ratings.
  • Imposition or proposed imposition of new or increased taxes aimed at products.
  • Imposition of limitations on the marketing or sale of products.
  • Changes in laws and regulations related to the use or disposal of plastics or other packaging materials.
  • Failure to comply with personal data protection and privacy laws.
  • Increase in income tax rates, changes in income tax laws or disagreements with tax authorities.
  • Failure to adequately protect intellectual property rights or infringement on intellectual property rights of others.
  • Failure to comply with applicable laws and regulations.
  • Potential liabilities and costs from litigation, claims, legal or regulatory proceedings, inquiries or investigations.

Future Outlook

The company continues to expect low-single-digit organic revenue growth for fiscal 2025 and core constant currency EPS to be approximately even with the prior year. The core USD EPS outlook has improved versus previous expectations as foreign exchange headwinds have moderated, now anticipating an approximate 1.5-percentage-point negative impact on reported net revenue and core EPS growth, which implies a 1.5% decline in core EPS in 2025 compared to 2024 core EPS of $8.16.

Management Comments

  • "We're encouraged by the acceleration in our net revenue growth versus the previous quarter with our businesses effectively navigating through a challenging environment."
  • "Our international business momentum continued, while our North America businesses improved their execution and competitiveness in key subcategories and channels."
  • "As we look ahead, we will continue to build upon the successful expansion and growth of our International business and accelerate initiatives to improve our North America business performance."
  • "These initiatives include more portfolio innovation and cost optimization activities that aim to stimulate growth and profitability."
  • "As a result, for fiscal 2025, we remain confident in our ability to deliver low-single-digit organic revenue growth with core constant currency EPS to be approximately even with the prior year."
  • "Our core USD EPS outlook has improved versus our previous expectations as foreign exchange headwinds have moderated, due to the weakening of the U.S. dollar."

Industry Context

The company's statement about "effectively navigating through a challenging environment" suggests that the broader consumer goods and food and beverage industry is facing headwinds, possibly related to economic conditions, inflation, or supply chain disruptions. The focus on continued international business momentum and efforts to improve North America performance indicates a strategic response to varying regional market dynamics and competitive landscapes. The significant impairment charges on specific brands like Rockstar and Be & Cheery may reflect intense competition or shifts in consumer preferences within the energy drink and snack categories, requiring strategic adjustments to the brand portfolio.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • The document does not provide specific comparable companies, projects, or results to assess against global benchmarks or industry standards.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Shareholders are impacted by the significant GAAP EPS decline, but also by the affirmation of core guidance and the planned $8.6 billion in cash returns, comprising $7.6 billion in dividends and $1.0 billion in share repurchases.
  • Employees may be affected by future "cost optimization activities" and "restructuring and impairment charges," though specific impacts are not detailed.
  • Customers may see changes in product offerings due to planned "portfolio innovation."
  • Suppliers could be impacted by "cost optimization activities" and potential supply chain adjustments.
  • Creditors are affected by the company's overall financial health, including changes in debt obligations and cash flow from operations.

Next Steps

  • Post prepared management remarks (in pdf format) of second quarter 2025 results and business update, including outlook for 2025, at approximately 6:30 a.m. (Eastern time) on July 17, 2025.
  • Host a live question and answer session with investors and financial analysts at 8:15 a.m. (Eastern time) on July 17, 2025.
  • Continue to build upon the successful expansion and growth of the International business.
  • Accelerate initiatives to improve North America business performance, including more portfolio innovation and cost optimization activities.

Key Dates

DateDescription
2024-12-28End of fiscal year 2024
2025-06-14End of 12 and 24 weeks reporting period for Q2 2025
2025-07-16Date the Current Report on Form 8-K was signed
2025-07-17Date of earliest event reported; press release issued reporting Q2 2025 financial results; prepared management remarks posted; live question and answer session with investors and financial analysts hosted

Recommendation

hold

Keywords

Beverages, Snacks, Food & Beverage, Consumer Goods, Soft Drinks, Convenience Foods, Financial Results, Earnings, SEC Filing, Quarterly Report, Organic Revenue, EPS, Impairment, Guidance, Shareholder Returns

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