10-K: National Fuel Gas Reports Strong 2025 Earnings, Ohio Expansion

Sentiment:

Annual Report


National Fuel Gas Company achieved significant net income growth in fiscal 2025, driven by strong upstream performance and strategic expansion into Ohio's natural gas utility market.

Delay expectedThe Northern Access project, which received FERC approval in 2017, experienced substantial litigation and delays, ultimately leading to the termination of precedent agreements on October 16, 2024, and an impairment charge of $46.1 million in 2024.Issuance of certain key regulations necessary to implement New York's cap-and-invest program has been delayed.
Capital raiseThe company intends to execute permanent financing for the $2.62 billion CenterPoint Ohio acquisition, inclusive of repaying a $1.2 billion promissory note, using the issuance of long-term debt and common equity, along with expected future free cash flow.The company entered into a 364-day term loan facility commitment letter for $1.42 billion and a bridge facility commitment letter for $1.2 billion to fully support the purchase price of the CenterPoint Ohio acquisition, with the expectation to reduce these commitments through permanent financings or equity offerings.
Better than expectedNet income available for common stock increased significantly to $518.5 million in 2025 from $77.5 million in 2024.The Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment, which had a net loss in 2024, reported strong net income of $324.7 million in 2025.Natural gas production increased by 9% in 2025, contributing to higher revenues.Proved reserves grew by 5% in 2025, indicating successful exploration and development activities.

Summary

  • Net income available for common stock increased to $518.5 million in fiscal 2025, up from $77.5 million in 2024.
  • The Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment contributed $324.7 million in net income in 2025, a substantial increase from a $57.0 million net loss in 2024.
  • Natural gas production grew by 9% to 427 Bcfe in 2025, with proved reserves increasing by 5% to 4,981 Bcfe.
  • The Pipeline and Storage segment's net income rose to $121.0 million in 2025, an increase of $41.3 million from 2024.
  • The Utility segment's net income increased to $83.2 million in 2025, up $26.1 million from 2024, benefiting from new base delivery rates in New York.
  • The company plans to acquire Vectren Energy Delivery of Ohio, LLC for $2.62 billion, doubling its gas utility rate base and expanding into Ohio.
  • Non-cash impairment charges of $141.8 million ($103.6 million after-tax) were recorded in the Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment in 2025, primarily from a ceiling test impairment.
  • The share repurchase program, which had repurchased 1,974,979 shares for $119.0 million since inception, has been suspended due to the planned CenterPoint Ohio acquisition.
  • Capital expenditures for long-lived assets totaled $918.1 million in 2025, with $605.4 million in Integrated Upstream and Gathering, $121.8 million in Pipeline and Storage, and $190.0 million in Utility.

Sentiment

Score: 8

Explanation: The company reported a substantial increase in net income and production, driven by strong performance in its core segments. The strategic acquisition of CenterPoint Ohio is a significant growth driver. While there were impairment charges and project terminations, the overall financial health and strategic direction appear positive, with strong liquidity and manageable debt levels.

Positives

  • Net income available for common stock significantly increased to $518.5 million in 2025 from $77.5 million in 2024.
  • Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment's net income rebounded strongly to $324.7 million in 2025 from a $57.0 million loss in 2024.
  • Natural gas production increased by 9% to 427 Bcfe in 2025, with proved reserves growing by 5% to 4,981 Bcfe.
  • The planned acquisition of CenterPoint Ohio for $2.62 billion is expected to double the company's gas utility rate base and expand operations into a supportive regulatory environment.
  • New base delivery rates in the Utility segment's New York jurisdiction, effective January 1, 2025, are expected to increase revenue requirements by $57.3 million in fiscal 2025, $15.8 million in 2026, and $12.7 million in 2027.
  • The Utility segment's Pennsylvania jurisdiction approved a new weather normalization adjustment mechanism effective October 2023, mitigating weather impact on cash flow.
  • The Pipeline and Storage segment's transportation and storage rates increased effective February 1, 2024, following a FERC-approved rate case settlement.
  • The company successfully issued $1.0 billion in long-term notes in February 2025 at 5.50% and 5.95% to refinance existing debt, demonstrating access to capital markets.
  • The debt to capitalization ratio, as calculated under agreements, was 0.45 at September 30, 2025, well below the 0.65 covenant limit, indicating strong financial flexibility.

Negatives

  • Non-cash impairment charges of $141.8 million ($103.6 million after-tax) were recorded in the Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment in 2025, primarily due to a ceiling test impairment.
  • The All Other category and Corporate operations incurred a net loss of $10.4 million in 2025, an increase in loss of $8.2 million compared to 2024.
  • Operating expenses increased in the Pipeline and Storage segment by $4.8 million, primarily due to higher personnel costs, outside service expenses for system integrity, and power costs.
  • Interest expense increased by $6.5 million in the Utility segment, mainly due to higher short-term and long-term intercompany debt balances.
  • The share repurchase program has been suspended due to the planned CenterPoint Ohio acquisition, limiting immediate shareholder returns through buybacks.

Risks

  • Dependence on capital and credit markets to finance capital requirements, with potential for increased borrowing costs or restricted access if credit ratings are downgraded.
  • Regulatory, legislative, consumer behavior, and capital access developments related to climate change, including potential natural gas bans, carbon taxes, methane fees, and reduced demand for natural gas.
  • Organized opposition to the natural gas industry, which could lead to increased regulatory and legislative initiatives, operational delays, restrictions, and increased operating costs.
  • Delays or changes in plans or costs with respect to company projects, including regulatory delays or denials, which could prevent anticipated project completion, result in asset write-offs, and reduce earnings.
  • Adverse effects from economic conditions, including trade policies, inflation, supply chain disruptions, and their impact on suppliers and customers, potentially leading to decreased energy consumption and increased bad debt expense.
  • Fluctuations in natural gas prices, which can be volatile and affect revenues, cash flows, and profitability, particularly in the Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment.
  • Risks associated with significant transactions involving price hedging, including potential liquidity impacts from margin calls if natural gas prices significantly increase, and nonperformance risk by counterparties.
  • Uncertainty of natural gas reserve estimates, which are inherently imprecise and subject to substantial revisions, potentially affecting future production, revenues, and expenditures.
  • Financial accounting requirements regarding exploration and production activities, specifically the full cost ceiling test, which could result in material non-cash impairment charges if commodity prices decline.
  • Inherent operational risks such as fires, natural disasters, explosions, pipeline ruptures, and cybersecurity threats, which could cause personal injury, property damage, environmental damage, or business interruption losses not fully covered by insurance.
  • Dependence on natural gas gathering, storage, and transmission facilities, including third-party midstream facilities, which if unavailable, could adversely affect the company's ability to market and deliver products.
  • Disputes with collective bargaining units, including potential strikes or work stoppages, which could disrupt operations and impact financial results.
  • The planned acquisition of CenterPoint Ohio may not occur or may be delayed, negatively affecting stock price and future business, and could limit financial flexibility if permanent financing is not obtained on favorable terms.
  • The company may not realize the anticipated benefits, including growth opportunities, from the planned acquisition of CenterPoint Ohio due to integration challenges or failure to recover capital investments.

Future Outlook

The company anticipates repaying a $300.0 million delayed draw term loan maturing in February 2026 using cash from operations and/or borrowings. Cash provided by operating activities is expected to exceed capital expenditures in both fiscal 2026 and 2027. Construction on the Tioga Pathway Project is expected to commence in early calendar 2026 with a target in-service date in late calendar 2026. The Shippingport Lateral Project's incremental capacity is expected to come online as early as Fall 2026. The acquisition of CenterPoint Ohio is expected to close in the fourth quarter of calendar 2026, with permanent financing planned through long-term debt and common equity issuance. The company expects to meet its financing needs despite current economic conditions, including inflationary pressures and volatile interest rates.

Management Comments

  • The company operates an integrated business, with assets centered in western New York and Pennsylvania, being used for, and benefiting from, the production and transportation of natural gas from the Appalachian Basin.
  • The common geographic footprint of the company's subsidiaries enables them to share management, labor, facilities and support services across various businesses and pursue coordinated projects.
  • Management believes that the reliability and affordability of natural gas support its competitive position relative to electrification and other energy sources.
  • The integration of upstream and gathering operations is a key differentiator within the industry, enabling greater capital allocation efficiency and a low-cost structure that supports resilient margins across commodity cycles.
  • The company aims to attract qualified employees, and to retain those employees through offering competitive benefits and compensation packages, and career development and training opportunities in a safe, inclusive and productive work environment.
  • The company is committed to developing its proved undeveloped reserves within five years as required by the SEC's final rule on Modernization of Oil and Gas Reporting.

Industry Context

The company operates within a natural gas industry facing increasing scrutiny and regulation related to climate change and greenhouse gas emissions, particularly in New York State with the CLCPA mandates. There is growing competition from electrification and renewable energy sources. However, the company emphasizes the reliability and affordability of natural gas. Its strategic focus on the Appalachian Basin for production and transportation, coupled with pipeline expansion projects, positions it to serve regional demand, including for power generation and data centers. The planned acquisition in Ohio reflects a strategy to expand regulated utility assets into states with supportive regulatory environments for natural gas.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • The company's total proved undeveloped (PUD) reserves were 26.4% of total proved reserves at September 30, 2025, down from 26.7% in 2024, indicating a continued focus on developing existing reserves.
  • The company developed 31% of its beginning year PUD reserves in fiscal 2025, demonstrating progress towards the SEC's five-year development requirement for PUD reserves.

Management Changes

RolePrevious PersonNew PersonEffective DateReason
President of Distribution CorporationSenior Vice President of Distribution CorporationMichael D. ColpoysJuly 2025Promotion
President of Supply CorporationExecutive Vice President of Supply CorporationJoseph N. Del VecchioFebruary 2025Promotion
Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer of the CompanyTreasurer of Seneca Resources CompanyTimothy J. SilversteinMay 2023Promotion
General Counsel and Secretary of the Company and General Counsel and Secretary of Distribution CorporationVice President of Distribution CorporationLee E. HartzApril 2025Promotion

Corporate Governance

Change TypeDescriptionEffective DateImpact Assessment
Amendment to Credit AgreementThe definition of 'Consolidated Indebtedness' was amended to exclude up to $1.2 billion of indebtedness under the Seller Note Agreement for the CenterPoint Ohio acquisition from the debt to capitalization ratio calculation, provided it is defeased or cash collateralized.November 6, 2025Enhances financial flexibility by allowing the company to exclude a significant portion of acquisition-related debt from its debt covenant calculation, potentially facilitating the acquisition and future financing.
Amendment to Term Loan AgreementThe definition of 'Consolidated Indebtedness' was amended to exclude up to $1.2 billion of indebtedness under the Seller Note Agreement for the CenterPoint Ohio acquisition from the debt to capitalization ratio calculation, provided it is defeased or cash collateralized.November 6, 2025Aligns the Term Loan Agreement with the Credit Agreement regarding debt covenants, providing consistent financial flexibility for the CenterPoint Ohio acquisition.

Legal Proceedings

  • The company is involved in other litigation and regulatory matters arising in the normal course of business, including negligence claims and tax, regulatory, or governmental audits, inspections, investigations, and proceedings.
  • The Northern Access project was subject to substantial litigation over several years concerning federal and state authorizations, which ultimately led to the project's termination and an impairment charge in 2024.

Related Party Transactions

  • The Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment generated approximately $258 million (11.3%) of consolidated revenue from one customer, who was also a customer of the Pipeline and Storage segment, accounting for an additional $16 million (0.7%) of consolidated revenue in 2025.
  • The Pipeline and Storage segment generated approximately 35% of its revenues in 2025 from services provided to the Utility segment or Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment.
  • Supply Corporation has executed a Precedent Agreement with Seneca for 190,000 Dth per day of transportation capacity for the Tioga Pathway Project.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Shareholders: Significant increase in net income and proved reserves, strategic acquisition for growth, but suspension of share repurchase program. Credit rating stability is important for borrowing costs.
  • Employees: Approximately 47% of the workforce is covered by collective bargaining agreements, with negotiations for Pennsylvania units in late 2025. Focus on competitive benefits, compensation, and a safe, inclusive work environment.
  • Customers (Utility): New base delivery rates in New York and a new weather normalization adjustment in Pennsylvania impact billing. Purchased gas costs are passed through, not impacting profit margins directly.
  • Customers (Pipeline & Storage): Rate increases approved by FERC for Supply Corporation, but a modest reduction in Empire's transportation unit rates effective November 1, 2025.
  • Regulatory Authorities: Ongoing compliance with federal and state regulations, including those related to climate change, safety standards, and rate proceedings. The CenterPoint Ohio acquisition is subject to regulatory review.

Next Steps

  • Repay a $300.0 million delayed draw term loan maturing in February 2026.
  • Commence construction on the Tioga Pathway Project in early calendar 2026, with a target in-service date in late calendar 2026.
  • Bring the Shippingport Lateral Project's incremental capacity online as early as Fall 2026.
  • Close the acquisition of Vectren Energy Delivery of Ohio, LLC in the fourth quarter of calendar 2026, pending regulatory approvals.
  • Execute permanent financing for the CenterPoint Ohio acquisition, including long-term debt and common equity issuance.
  • Begin negotiations with two collective bargaining units in Pennsylvania in late 2025.

Key Dates

DateDescription
2003Retirement Plan and other post-retirement benefits closed to new participants.
September 30, 2020Net property, plant and equipment was $6.0 billion.
July 18, 2019New York's Climate Leadership & Community Protection Act (CLCPA) enacted.
July 2019David P. Bauer became Chief Executive Officer of the Company.
December 2018Martin A. Krebs became Chief Information Officer of the Company.
February 3, 2017FERC approval of the Northern Access project received by Supply Corporation and Empire.
December 22, 2017Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (2017 Tax Reform Act) enacted.
June 30, 2022Sale of Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment's California assets.
December 1, 2023Administrative Rules of the Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors amended and restated.
June 1, 2023Acquisition of certain upstream assets in Tioga County, Pennsylvania from SWN Production Company, LLC completed for $124.8 million.
June 15, 2023PaPUC approved Utility segment's Pennsylvania rate jurisdiction use of a Weather Normalization Adjustment (WNA) as a five-year pilot program, with rates effective August 1, 2023.
October 2023Weather impact on cash flow in the Utility segment's Pennsylvania rate jurisdiction began to be mitigated by a WNA.
December 2023Business interruption insurance proceeds received related to a pipeline outage impacting Seneca's ability to market gas.
December 7, 2023National Fuel Gas Company 2010 Equity Compensation Plan amended and restated.
February 14, 2024Company entered into a $300.0 million unsecured committed delayed draw term loan facility (Term Loan Agreement).
March 8, 2024Company's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $200 million.
April 2024Company drew a total of $300.0 million under the delayed draw term loan facility.
April 10, 2024Distribution Corporation filed a petition for approval of a distribution system improvement charge (DSIC) with the PaPUC.
June 11, 2024FERC approved Supply Corporation's rate settlement, with rates effective February 1, 2024.
September 30, 2024Non-cash impairment charge of $46.1 million ($33.8 million after-tax) recorded in the Pipeline and Storage segment associated with the Northern Access project.
October 16, 2024Precedent agreements for the Northern Access project were terminated.
December 5, 2024PaPUC approved Distribution Corporation's DSIC petition.
December 19, 2024NYPSC issued an order approving a three-year rate plan for Distribution Corporation's New York jurisdiction, effective January 1, 2025.
December 2024New York's Governor signed the Climate Change Superfund Act into law (amended February 2025).
January 1, 2025Distribution Corporation initiated recovery of eligible costs on incremental rate base added after September 30, 2024, via the DSIC.
January 2025Company and syndicate of banks consented to a second one-year extension of the Credit Agreement maturity date to February 23, 2029.
February 19, 2025Company issued $500.0 million of 5.50% notes due March 15, 2030, and $500.0 million of 5.95% notes due March 15, 2035.
March 6, 2025Company redeemed $450.0 million of 5.20% notes due July 2025 and $500.0 million of 5.50% notes due January 2026.
March 17, 2025FERC approved an amendment to Empire's 2019 rate case settlement, reducing revenues by approximately $0.5 million yearly, effective November 1, 2025.
May 5, 2025FERC issued the Section 7(b)/7(c) certificate for the Tioga Pathway Project.
May 2025Number of lenders under the Credit Agreement increased to twelve.
June 13, 2025Company redeemed $50.0 million of 7.38% notes, canceling and discharging the 1974 indenture.
July 1, 2025Company issued 5,180 unregistered shares of common stock to non-employee directors.
July 15, 2025Company issued 587 unregistered shares of common stock pursuant to the dividend reinvestment feature of the DCP.
August 29, 2025Supply Corporation filed an application with FERC for the Shippingport Lateral Project.
September 2025Company sold $7.0 million of fixed income mutual fund shares held in a grantor trust.
October 20, 2025Company entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement to acquire Vectren Energy Delivery of Ohio, LLC.
October 31, 2025Common Stock outstanding: 90,386,463 shares.
November 6, 2025Company entered into a 364-day term loan facility commitment letter for $1.42 billion and amended Credit Agreement and Term Loan Agreement regarding debt to capitalization ratio.
November 7, 2025Shippingport Lateral Project obtained FERC authorization.
November 15, 2025Date for executive officer information.
February 6, 2026New York State court directed NYDEC to promulgate rules and regulations to ensure compliance with CLCPA emissions reductions limits.
February 2026A $300.0 million delayed draw term loan matures.
Early calendar 2026Construction on the Tioga Pathway Project is expected to commence.
Late calendar 2026Tioga Pathway Project has a target in-service date.
Fall 2026Shippingport Lateral Project incremental capacity expected to come online.
Fourth quarter of calendar 2026Closing of the CenterPoint Ohio acquisition is expected.
April 30, 2027Empire will not be able to file a new Section 4 rate case before this date.
June 2027NYDEC has until this date to develop implementing regulations for the Climate Change Superfund Act.
February 2029Collective bargaining agreements in New York are in place until this date.
February 23, 2029Credit Agreement maturity date.
March 15, 2030Maturity date for $500.0 million of 5.50% notes.
May 31, 2031Empire is required to file a Section 4 rate case by this date.
March 15, 2035Maturity date for $500.0 million of 5.95% notes.

Recommendation

buy

The company demonstrated strong financial performance in fiscal 2025, with a significant rebound in net income and robust growth in natural gas production and proved reserves. The strategic acquisition of CenterPoint Ohio is a transformative move, expected to double the utility rate base and expand into a favorable regulatory environment, offering substantial long-term growth potential. While there were non-cash impairment charges and the share repurchase program is suspended, the underlying operational improvements, successful debt refinancing, and strong liquidity position indicate a healthy and expanding business. The company's commitment to developing PUD reserves and managing climate-related risks also provides a solid foundation for future value creation, making it an attractive investment.

Keywords

Natural Gas, Energy, Appalachian Basin, Utility, Pipeline, Storage, Exploration and Production, Midstream, SEC Filing, 10-K, Financial Results, Acquisition, CenterPoint Ohio, Capital Expenditures, Proved Reserves, Climate Change, Regulation, Hedging, Debt, Share Repurchase

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