F-1/A: Liberty Defense Files for IPO Amidst Growing Losses

Sentiment:

Initial Public Offering Registration Statement Amendment


Liberty Defense Holdings, Ltd. is pursuing an initial public offering on Nasdaq to raise capital for its AI-based security screening technologies, despite reporting significant losses and negative cash flows.

Delay expectedTSA contract revenue projects experienced delays, with US$357,759 originally planned for early 2025 now expected to fall into the first quarter of 2026.Initial commercial sales of the HD-AIT Upgrade Kit are anticipated in 2026, subject to successful completion of the TSA's complex and iterative certification process, indicating potential delays.HEXWAVE unit deliveries for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, were lower due to timing-related factors, including customer site readiness, installation scheduling, and deferral of certain customer deployments.Efforts to evaluate potential design changes to reduce dependency on the single-source ADI component for HEXWAVE are in early stages, and any alternate supply path is not expected to be commercially implemented before late 2026, implying a delay in risk mitigation.
Capital raiseThe company is undertaking an initial public offering (IPO) of 3,333,333 common shares in the United States.The estimated initial public offering price is between US$4.00 and US$5.00 per common share, with a midpoint of US$4.50.The company has granted the underwriter a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 499,999 common shares (15% of the offering) to cover over-allotments.Net proceeds from this offering are estimated to be approximately US$12.4 million (or US$14.5 million if the over-allotment option is fully exercised).The proceeds are intended for working capital and other general corporate purposes, including commercialization of the HD-AIT Upgrade Kit, business development for HEXWAVE, and recurring engineering and cost reduction efforts for next-generation HEXWAVE.The company has a history of raising capital through private placements and debt financing, and states that continued equity and/or debt financing is critical to support operations and growth initiatives.
Worse than expectedPreliminary estimates for the year ended December 31, 2025, show a projected cash balance of US$0.3 million US$0.4 million, a significant decrease from US$1.2 million in 2024.Estimated total revenue for 2025 is US$1.5 million US$2.0 million, a decline from US$2.4 million in 2024.Estimated total operating expenses for 2025 are US$11.5 million US$12.0 million, a substantial increase from US$5.8 million in 2024.The estimated net loss for 2025 is US$12.8 million US$14.5 million, significantly higher than the US$8.8 million loss in 2024.Actual net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was US$10,510,206, a 63.5% increase from US$6,429,727 in the comparable 2024 period.Cash used in operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, increased to US$8,379,896 from US$3,072,818 in the comparable 2024 period.The working capital deficiency increased to US$4.5 million as of September 30, 2025, from US$2.7 million as of December 31, 2024.

Summary

  • Liberty Defense Holdings, Ltd. is seeking to raise approximately US$12.4 million (or US$14.5 million if the over-allotment option is fully exercised) through an initial public offering of 3,333,333 common shares on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol DETX.
  • The company's common shares are currently listed on the TSX Venture Exchange (SCAN), quoted on the OTCQB Venture Market (LDDFF), and listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange (E30); the OTCQB listing will cease upon Nasdaq approval.
  • A 1-for-45 share consolidation (reverse stock split) is planned prior to the IPO's effective date, subject to TSXV approval, to meet Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement.
  • Preliminary estimates for the year ended December 31, 2025, indicate a net loss between US$12.8 million and US$14.5 million, a significant increase from US$8.8 million in 2024.
  • Total revenue for 2025 is estimated to be between US$1.5 million and US$2.0 million, down from US$2.4 million in 2024, while total operating expenses are projected to rise to US$11.5 million US$12.0 million from US$5.8 million.
  • The company reported a net loss of US$10,510,206 for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to US$6,429,727 for the same period in 2024, and negative cash flow from operating activities of US$8,379,896.
  • Liberty Defense develops and commercializes AI-based contactless security technology, including its HEXWAVE system for detecting concealed metallic and non-metallic threats, and the HD-AIT Upgrade Kit for airport body scanners.
  • The HD-AIT Upgrade Kit is currently in the product development and TSA certification phase, with initial commercial sales anticipated in 2026, subject to successful completion of the certification process.

Sentiment

Score: 3

Explanation: StockSavvy.ai views this filing with caution. While the IPO aims to address critical funding needs and the company operates in a growing market with innovative technology, the significant and increasing losses, negative cash flows, and explicit 'going concern' doubt present substantial financial instability. The preliminary 2025 estimates show a worsening financial trend, overshadowing the positive technological developments and market opportunities.

Positives

  • The company is an emerging leader in AI-based contactless security technology for detecting concealed metallic and non-metallic weapons and threats.
  • HEXWAVE system offers superior detection effectiveness for both metallic and non-metallic threats, including liquid, plastic, and powder explosives, and 3D printed guns, using AI and 3D imaging.
  • The HEXWAVE system allows for rapid, automated screening with high throughput (up to 700 people per hour) and significantly reduces false alarms, improving visitor experience and operational efficiency.
  • The HD-AIT Upgrade Kit addresses a near-term market opportunity of approximately US$125 million from the TSA's plan to upgrade over 1,000 body scanners at U.S. airports over the next five years.
  • Strategic global partnerships with companies like Rapiscan and Viken provide significant leverage and global reach for scaling the business.
  • The management team possesses over two decades of experience in the security industry, including expertise in millimeter-wave applications and AI algorithm development.
  • A self-reinforcing adoption cycle is anticipated, where increased customer acquisition leads to more data, improving detection accuracy and system performance, thereby attracting more customers.

Negatives

  • The company has a history of losses and negative operating cash flows, with a net loss of US$10,510,206 for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, and US$8,845,163 for the year ended December 31, 2024.
  • A working capital deficiency of approximately US$4.5 million as of September 30, 2025, and US$2.7 million as of December 31, 2024, raises substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern.
  • Preliminary estimates for the year ended December 31, 2025, project a decrease in total revenue to US$1.5 million US$2.0 million from US$2.4 million in 2024, and a significant increase in total operating expenses to US$11.5 million US$12.0 million from US$5.8 million.
  • Independent registered public accountants identified material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting, including issues with inventory impairment assessment, review of standard costs, account reconciliations, and check disbursement approvals.
  • HEXWAVE revenue decreased by 37.2% for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to lower unit deliveries and shifted customer deployment schedules.
  • Contract revenue decreased by 31.6% for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, reflecting the completion of major milestones under TSA contracts in 2024.
  • The company is dependent on a single-source supplier, Analog Devices Inc. (ADI), for safety-critical components of HEXWAVE, accounting for approximately 22% of cost of goods sold, without a long-term purchase contract.

Risks

  • The company is an early-stage company with a limited operating history and a history of losses, raising substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.
  • Failure to achieve milestones on expected timeframes or at all may impair the ability to execute the business plan, potentially leading to delayed activities or the need for additional funding.
  • Material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting could lead to inaccurate financial results and a failure to meet reporting obligations.
  • A significant portion of the business depends on sales to government agencies, which are subject to challenges, risks, and potential delays in contract revenue projects.
  • The HD-AIT Upgrade Kit may not achieve TSA certification within the expected timeline or at all, delaying commercialization and expected revenue.
  • The addressable markets for HEXWAVE and HD-AIT Upgrade Kit may be materially smaller than currently estimated, and regulatory, technical, adoption, and procurement uncertainties could adversely affect revenue potential.
  • Reliance on a limited number of products (HEXWAVE) subjects the company to greater risk from changes in customer preference or increased competition.
  • Rapid technological change could result in obsolescence or short product life cycles for the company's products.
  • Product failures or perceived failures to detect threats could result in injury or loss of life, harming brand and reputation.
  • Reliance on certain license agreements (MIT, Battelle) for key technology, which contain termination and other provisions that could materially and adversely affect the business.
  • Dependence on a limited number of third parties for manufacturing, shipping, logistics, marketing, and sales, including a single-source supplier (ADI) for critical HEXWAVE components.
  • Exposure to risks associated with international business, including legal uncertainty, tariffs, compliance with anti-corruption laws (FCPA, U.K. Bribery Act), and foreign exchange rate fluctuations.
  • Vulnerability of internal computer systems to damage, failure, and cybersecurity threats, which could disrupt operations or compromise data.
  • Low barriers to entry and high competition in the security industry could impact the ability to obtain contracts and affect future revenues and growth prospects.
  • Substantial capital requirements and the risk of failing to raise additional capital, which could lead to significant dilution for existing shareholders.
  • The company has granted competing security interests in substantially all assets of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Liberty Defense Technologies, Inc., which could materially adversely affect liquidity and operations if triggered by a default.
  • Dependence on the Parabilis Credit Facilities, which are short-term, contain restrictive covenants, and include lender remedies that could materially harm the company if triggered.
  • U.S. Holders of common shares may suffer adverse tax consequences if the company is characterized as a passive foreign investment company (PFIC).
  • The company has no operating experience as a publicly traded company in the United States and will incur significantly increased costs and management time as a result.
  • Inability to comply with Nasdaq's continued listing requirements could result in delisting, affecting market price and liquidity.
  • The common shares have experienced and may continue to experience extreme share price volatility unrelated to actual operating performance.

Future Outlook

The company anticipates continued significant expenses and operating losses in the foreseeable future as it advances the commercialization of HEXWAVE and HD-AIT. Future revenues and existing cash, along with estimated IPO proceeds, are expected to fund operations and capital expenditures through June 30, 2026. Initial commercial sales of the HD-AIT Upgrade Kit are anticipated in 2026, subject to TSA certification. Efforts to reduce dependency on a single-source supplier for HEXWAVE components are in early stages, with an alternate supply path not expected before late 2026.

Management Comments

  • Management believes that the expectations reflected in any forward-looking statements are reasonable, but no assurance can be given that these expectations will prove to be correct.
  • Management is committed to overcoming challenges in the global economic environment and has taken proactive measures, including increasing product awareness, advancing customer pilots, and maintaining operational readiness.
  • Management recognizes that current capital market conditions directly affect liquidity and working capital, and continued access to external financing is critical to support operations and growth initiatives until sustainable revenues are generated.
  • Management believes that the increasing frequency and severity of violent incidents in public venues is prompting both businesses and governments to adopt more proactive and scalable security screening solutions, positioning the company to become a market leader.

Industry Context

StockSavvy.ai notes that Liberty Defense operates in the rapidly evolving security screening market, which is projected to grow from US$11 billion to US$22.4 billion by 2036 (7.5% CAGR). The company aims to disrupt this market, currently dominated by legacy metal detectors, with its AI-based millimeter-wave technology. The focus on contactless, high-throughput solutions aligns with a broader industry trend towards less intrusive and more effective security, driven by increasing concerns over mass shootings and emerging threats like 3D-printed weapons. The company's contracts with the TSA for the HD-AIT Upgrade Kit position it well within the government and aviation security sectors, where there is a significant push for technological advancements and upgrades to aging infrastructure.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • HEXWAVE's contactless, 3D-imaging, and AI-enabled screening technology represents a new generation compared to legacy metal detectors, which are prone to false alarms and require manual processes.
  • The HEXWAVE system is designed to be up to twice as fast as old screening processes, offering increased throughput and reduced crowding, which is a key differentiator in urban security markets.
  • Unlike traditional walk-through metal detectors, HEXWAVE reliably detects both metallic and non-metallic weapons (e.g., liquid, plastic, powder explosives, 3D printed guns, ceramic knives, ghost guns) while ignoring harmless items, addressing a critical gap in current security solutions.
  • The HD-AIT Upgrade Kit aims to enhance existing TSA AIT systems, which are currently in use in airports, by offering greater detection capabilities and lower false alarm rates, potentially surpassing the performance of the original Leidos ProVision and ProVision 2 systems.
  • The HD-AIT Upgrade Kit scans over a wider range of frequencies (10 to 40 GHz) compared to the Leidos Wideband System (20 to 40 GHz), which is expected to provide improved passenger MMW image details and allow passengers to wear more layers of clothing without compromising threat detection.
  • The company's collaboration with TSA on an Open Architecture platform for the HD-AIT Upgrade Kit allows for integration with third-party AI vendor software, potentially offering more flexibility and adaptability than proprietary systems from competitors like Leidos.

Management Changes

RolePrevious PersonNew PersonEffective DateReason
Executive Chairman and DirectorDaryl RebeckJason BurinescuFebruary 2025Daryl Rebeck resigned on February 25, 2025; Jason Burinescu joined in February 2025.
PresidentNABryan CunninghamJanuary 2025Appointment to new role.
Independent Director NomineeNAWilliam W. HamiltonUpon effectiveness of registration statementNomination to the board.

Corporate Governance

Change TypeDescriptionEffective DateImpact Assessment
Nasdaq Listing Standards ComplianceIntends to use foreign private issuer exemptions from certain Nasdaq corporate governance listing standards, which may afford less protection to shareholders than U.S. domestic issuers.Upon Nasdaq listingShareholders will not have the same rights and protections as they would if the company complied with all Nasdaq corporate governance requirements for U.S. domestic issuers.
Audit Committee CompositionUpon consummation of the offering, the Audit Committee will consist of Arjun Grewal (Chair), Linda Lee Jacksta, and William W. Hamilton. William W. Hamilton qualifies as an audit committee financial expert.Upon consummation of offeringA qualified financial expert will be on the Audit Committee, enhancing financial oversight, but the committee will still operate under foreign private issuer exemptions.
Code of Business Conduct and Ethics AdoptionWill adopt a Code of Business Conduct and Ethics applicable to all directors, officers, and employees.In connection with this offeringA formal framework for ethical conduct and standards of behavior will be established, aiming to maintain integrity and reputation.
Insider Trading Policy AdoptionWill adopt an insider trading policy to set guidelines for trading in securities and preserve confidential information.Prior to the effectiveness of the registration statementAims to prevent insider trading and protect confidential information, reducing legal and reputational risks.
Compensation Committee CompositionUpon consummation of the offering, the Compensation Committee will consist of Arjun Grewal (Chair), Linda Jacksta, and William W. Hamilton, all determined to be independent.Upon consummation of offeringEnsures independent oversight of executive compensation policies and programs, aligning with best practices for public companies.
Corporate Governance Committee CompositionUpon consummation of the offering, the Corporate Governance Committee will consist of Arjun Grewal (Chair), Jason Burinescu, and William W. Hamilton. Arjun Grewal and William W. Hamilton are independent.Upon consummation of offeringProvides oversight for board composition, director nominations, and ongoing governance practices, though Canadian practice allows non-independent director involvement in nominee selection.
Indemnification AgreementsIntends to enter into indemnification agreements with each officer and director, indemnifying them for liabilities incurred in their roles, subject to certain limitations.IntendedAims to attract and retain qualified individuals by providing maximum protection permitted by law, but SEC views indemnification for Securities Act liabilities as against public policy.

Legal Proceedings

  • Not currently engaged in any litigation or criminal proceedings.

Related Party Transactions

  • Received working capital loans from certain directors and officers (Jay Adelaar, Nicole Ridgedale, Jennifer Frain) totaling approximately US$787,908 since January 1, 2023. These loans were unsecured, non-interest bearing, and lacked specified maturity dates. As of September 30, 2025, there was no outstanding balance.
  • Daryl Rebeck, former Executive Chairman, participated in a non-brokered private placement on June 8, 2023, purchasing 1,111 units for CAD$100,000.

Stakeholder Impact

  • **Shareholders:** Will experience immediate and substantial dilution if they purchase common shares in this offering due to the difference between the IPO price and the adjusted net tangible book value. Future financing may cause further dilution. The share consolidation may decrease liquidity. U.S. Holders may face adverse tax consequences if the company is classified as a PFIC. Management will have broad discretion over the use of IPO proceeds.
  • **Employees:** The company's ability to attract and retain highly qualified management, clinical, and scientific personnel is critical to success. Growth may place significant demands on management and resources. Stock-based compensation is a key component of executive compensation.
  • **Customers:** The company's mission is to protect communities and preserve peace of mind through superior security detection solutions. Product failures or defects could result in injury or loss of life, damaging the brand and reputation. Delays in product development or certification could impact customer access to new technologies.
  • **Suppliers:** The company relies on a limited number of third parties for manufacturing and critical components, including a single-source supplier (ADI) for HEXWAVE, creating supply chain risks. Disruptions could delay production and increase costs.
  • **Creditors:** The company has significant debt obligations, including Parabilis Credit Facilities, which contain restrictive covenants and lender remedies. The 'going concern' doubt highlights risks to creditors. Competing security interests in subsidiary assets could affect the company's ability to obtain additional financing.

Next Steps

  • Complete the initial public offering and list common shares on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol DETX.
  • Effect a one-for-forty-five (1-for-45) share consolidation of common shares prior to the IPO's effective date, subject to TSXV approval.
  • Utilize net proceeds from the IPO for working capital, commercialization of the HD-AIT Upgrade Kit, business development for HEXWAVE, and recurring engineering and cost reduction efforts for next-generation HEXWAVE.
  • Continue optimizing unit economics, reducing production costs, and enhancing HEXWAVE system performance through ongoing engineering and supply chain improvements.
  • Actively expand the commercial team and build channel partnerships to support broader market rollout of HEXWAVE in 2026.
  • Achieve TSA certification for the HD-AIT Upgrade Kit to enable initial commercial sales in 2026.
  • Complete fulfillment of the remaining HEXWAVE order backlog, including additional orders currently in production, during the first half of 2026.
  • Continue efforts to evaluate potential design changes to reduce dependency on Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) for HEXWAVE components, with an alternate supply path not expected before late 2026.
  • Remediate identified material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting.
  • Continue to pursue equity and/or debt financing to support operations and growth initiatives.

Key Dates

DateDescription
September 10, 2018Effective date of the Exclusive Patent License Agreement between MIT and Liberty Defense Technologies, Inc.
March 28, 2019Effective date of the Second Amendment to the MIT License Agreement, changing the engineering prototype development deadline to October 1, 2019.
October 1, 2019Deadline for COMPANY to develop an engineering prototype under the MIT License Agreement.
September 20, 2019Effective date of the Third Amendment to the MIT License Agreement, changing the beta prototype development deadline to April 1, 2020.
March 12, 2020Effective date of the Fourth Amendment to the MIT License Agreement, changing the beta prototype development deadline to November 1, 2020, and the first commercial sale deadline to March 1, 2022.
March 22, 2021Effective date of the License Agreement with Battelle Memorial Institute for HD-AIT body scanner and shoe scanner technologies.
August 1, 2022Effective date of the Fifth Amendment to the MIT License Agreement, updating Appendix A and B.
April 1, 2023Effective date of the Sixth Amendment to the MIT License Agreement, amending the license maintenance fee schedule.
June 8, 2023Closing of a non-brokered private placement where former Executive Chairman Daryl Rebeck participated.
June 22, 2023Engagement in a factoring arrangement with Bengal Capital, Inc.
August 19, 2024Entered into a loan and security agreement with PFF, LLC (Parabilis) for a US$1,800,000 secured term loan and a secured revolving credit facility.
June 1, 2024Effective date of the Seventh Amendment to the MIT License Agreement, amending the NET SALES schedule and license maintenance fees.
August 14, 2025Amended the Parabilis Term Loan, updating the repayment schedule and providing for additional advances.
August 2025Delivered the first HD-AIT Upgrade Kit unit to the TSA for formal evaluation and testing at the Transportation Security Lab.
September 1, 2025Amended the Parabilis Revolving Credit Facility, extending the maturity date to May 31, 2026.
December 2025TSA exercised its contract option for the completion of design improvements to the HD-AIT Upgrade Kit.
March 6, 2026Filing date of Amendment No. 2 to Form F-1 Registration Statement.
Q1 2026Expected initial commercial sales of HD-AIT Upgrade Kit, subject to successful TSA certification.
First half of 2026Expected completion of the remaining HEXWAVE order backlog.
May 31, 2026Maturity date of the Parabilis Revolving Credit Facility (with automatic one-year renewals).
June 30, 2026Estimated timeframe through which existing cash and IPO proceeds will fund projected operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements.
August 15, 2026Maturity date of the Parabilis Term Loan.
Late 2026Expected commercial implementation of an alternate supply path to reduce dependency on Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) for HEXWAVE components.
January 1, 2027Effective date for IFRS 18 Presentation and Disclosure in Financial Statements.
December 2035Expiration of all licensed patents under the MIT License Agreement.
2036Forecasted year for the urban security market to reach US$22.4 billion.
2042-2043Expiration dates of patents licensed under the Battelle License Agreement.

Recommendation

sell

The filing reveals a company in a precarious financial state, marked by significant and increasing net losses, negative operating cash flows, and an explicit 'going concern' warning from its auditors. While the IPO aims to inject capital, the preliminary 2025 financial estimates show a worsening trend in revenue and expenses, indicating that the underlying business is struggling to achieve profitability. The substantial dilution for new investors, coupled with high operational risks such as reliance on a single-source supplier, certification delays, and intense competition in a rapidly evolving market, makes this a high-risk investment. A seasoned investor would likely view the current financial instability and operational challenges as outweighing the potential of its innovative technology, suggesting a 'sell' or 'avoid' stance until there is clear evidence of sustained revenue growth, improved profitability, and resolution of the going concern issue.

Keywords

AI-based security, Contactless security, Weapon detection, Millimeter wave technology, 3D imaging, HEXWAVE, HD-AIT Upgrade Kit, TSA certification, Public safety, Airport security, Urban security, IPO, Nasdaq listing, SEC filing, Risk factors, Financial losses, Going concern, Capital raise, Supply chain risk, Intellectual property licensing

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