8-K: Kinetik Holdings Reports Record Full Year 2024 Results and Issues Strong 2025 Guidance

Sentiment:

Earnings Release


Kinetik Holdings Inc. announces record full year 2024 financial results, including a net income of $244.2 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $971.1 million, and provides 2025 guidance with an expected Adjusted EBITDA between $1.09 billion and $1.15 billion.

Delay expectedThe ECCC pipeline construction is expected to begin in the second half of 2025 and be in-service in the first quarter of 2026.
Better than expectedThe company's full year 2024 Adjusted EBITDA of $971.1 million exceeded expectations.Capital Expenditures for 2024 were $264.5 million, falling below the low end of the full year guidance range.

Summary

  • Kinetik Holdings Inc. reported a net income of $16.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2024 and $244.2 million for the full year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $237.5 million, and for the full year, it reached $971.1 million.
  • Capital Expenditures for the full year amounted to $264.5 million.
  • The company announced the acquisition of natural gas and crude oil gathering systems in Reeves County, Texas (Barilla Draw), which closed in January 2025.
  • Kinetik is issuing full year 2025 guidance, projecting Adjusted EBITDA between $1.09 billion and $1.15 billion.
  • Capital guidance for 2025 is set between $450 million and $540 million, including growth and maintenance capital expenditures and $75 million of contingent consideration for the Kings Landing Complex.
  • Natural gas volumes processed were 1.74 Bcf/d for the quarter and 1.64 Bcf/d for the year.
  • The company increased its cash dividend by 4% to accelerate the return of capital to shareholders.
  • The company expects its fourth quarter 2025 annualized Adjusted EBITDA to exceed $1.2 billion.
  • The company exited the fourth quarter with a Leverage Ratio of 3.4x and a Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA Ratio of 3.6x.

Sentiment

Score: 8

Explanation: The document presents a positive outlook with record financial results and strong 2025 guidance. While there were some temporary setbacks in the fourth quarter, management expresses confidence in future growth and shareholder returns.

Positives

  • Kinetik achieved record full year 2024 Adjusted EBITDA growth of 16% year-over-year, reaching $971.1 million.
  • Capital Expenditures for 2024 were $264.5 million, falling below the low end of the full year guidance range.
  • The company increased its cash dividend by 4% to accelerate the return of capital to shareholders.
  • The company expects approximately 20% growth year-over-year in gas processed volumes across the system in 2025.
  • The company anticipates that approximately 83% of gross profit will come from fixed-fee contracts in 2025.
  • The company expects its fourth quarter 2025 annualized Adjusted EBITDA to exceed $1.2 billion.
  • The company exited the fourth quarter with a Leverage Ratio of 3.4x and a Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA Ratio of 3.6x.

Negatives

  • Fourth quarter results were temporarily impacted by unexpected events in November that resulted in a $15 million headwind.
  • Negative gas prices at Waha due to scheduled maintenance on intrastate gas pipelines led to production curtailments and lost Gross Margin.
  • Several Texas processing plants were operating in ethane rejection for maintenance work and commissioning activities, negatively impacting Gross Margin.

Risks

  • The company is exposed to commodity price volatility, with approximately 4% of total gross profit directly sourced from unhedged commodity prices.
  • The company is exposed to risks associated with the construction and start-up of new projects, such as the Kings Landing Complex and the ECCC pipeline.
  • The company is exposed to risks associated with regulatory and development work on Kings Landing Cryo II.
  • The company is exposed to risks associated with exploring a joint venture for a behind-the-meter greenfield large-scale gas-fired power generation facility and distribution network in Reeves County, Texas.

Future Outlook

Kinetik estimates full year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA between $1.09 billion and $1.15 billion, implying a 15% year-over-year growth. The company also expects its fourth quarter 2025 annualized Adjusted EBITDA to exceed $1.2 billion.

Management Comments

  • 2024 was another transformational year for Kinetik, said Jamie Welch, President & Chief Executive Officer.
  • We substantially expanded our footprint and capabilities across the Delaware Basin and enhanced our growth profile through highly strategic and accretive transactions and commercial agreements.
  • We reported record full year 2024 Adjusted EBITDA1 growth of 16% year-over-year to $971.1 million, while continuing our cost discipline with 2024 Capital Expenditures2 of $264.5 million, below the low end of the full year guidance range.
  • Since closing the merger in February 2022, we have a demonstrated track record of compound annual double-digit Adjusted EBITDA1 growth and expect to continue such growth levels in 2025.

Industry Context

Kinetik's focus on the Delaware Basin and its integrated midstream services align with the ongoing growth in oil and gas production in the Permian region. The company's strategic acquisitions and commercial agreements position it to capitalize on the increasing demand for gathering, processing, and transportation services.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • Kinetik's 16% year-over-year Adjusted EBITDA growth is strong compared to some of its peers in the midstream sector.
  • Companies like Kinder Morgan and Energy Transfer often serve as benchmarks in the industry, but their scale and diversification differ from Kinetik's pure-play focus on the Permian-to-Gulf Coast region.
  • Kinetik's leverage ratio of 3.4x is within a reasonable range for midstream companies, indicating a healthy balance sheet.

Management Changes

RolePrevious PersonNew PersonEffective DateReason
General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate SecretaryTodd CarpenterLindsay EllisN/ATodd Carpenter's retirement
Board of DirectorsElizabeth CordiaKaren PuttermanN/AN/A

Corporate Governance

Change TypeDescriptionEffective DateImpact Assessment
Employee CompensationGranted 2024 employee-wide performance bonuses in Kinetik Class A Common Stock, which further creates alignment with our shareholders.N/APositive impact on employee motivation and alignment with shareholder interests.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Shareholders will benefit from the increased cash dividend and the company's strong financial performance.
  • Employees will benefit from the performance bonuses granted in Kinetik Class A Common Stock.
  • Customers will benefit from the company's expanded footprint and capabilities across the Delaware Basin.
  • The company's operations support significant future growth in New Mexico.

Next Steps

  • Continue construction on the 220 Mmcf/d Kings Landing Complex in Eddy County, New Mexico.
  • Begin construction on the ECCC pipeline in the second half of 2025.
  • Advance commercial arrangements with producer customers for Kings Landing Cryo II.
  • Explore a joint venture for a behind-the-meter greenfield large-scale gas-fired power generation facility and distribution network in Reeves County, Texas.
  • Participate in upcoming conferences and events, including the Morgan Stanley Energy & Power Conference, Barclays Industrial Energy & Infrastructure Corporate Access Day, Bank of America Spring Energy Summit, USCA Midstream Corporate Access Day, and Wolfe Energy Corporate Access Day.

Key Dates

DateDescription
February 20, 2025Market forward prices used for 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance assumptions.
January 2025Closing of the Barilla Draw acquisition.
June 2025Expected start-up of Kings Landing at the end of June 2025.
July 1, 20257,680,492 shares of Class C common stock to be issued in connection with the Durango Permian acquisition.
Second half of 2025Construction expected to begin on the ECCC pipeline.
February 26, 2025Date of the press release announcing financial results.
February 27, 2025Kinetik will host its fourth quarter 2024 results conference call.
March 5, 2025Kinetik plans to participate at the Morgan Stanley Energy & Power Conference and Barclays Industrial Energy & Infrastructure Corporate Access Day.
March 26, 2025Kinetik plans to participate at the Bank of America Spring Energy Summit.
April 1, 2025Kinetik plans to participate at the USCA Midstream Corporate Access Day.
April 2, 2025Kinetik plans to participate at the Wolfe Energy Corporate Access Day.
First quarter of 2026Expected in-service date for the ECCC pipeline.
December 31, 2024End of the reporting period for the financial results.

Keywords

Adjusted EBITDA, Capital Expenditures, Natural Gas, Midstream, Permian Basin, Kinetik, Financial Results

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