10-Q: Grayscale Litecoin Trust Reports Q2 2026 Net Asset Decline

Sentiment:

Quarterly Report


Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTC) reported a significant decrease in net assets for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, primarily due to a depreciation in Litecoin's market price.

Capital raiseDigital Currency Group (DCG), the indirect parent company of the Sponsor, had an authorization to purchase up to $30 million worth of Trust Shares, approved on March 2, 2022.DCG purchased $1.8 million worth of Shares between March 2, 2022, and March 31, 2022.As of February 2, 2026, DCG had not purchased any additional Shares under this authorization since March 31, 2022, leaving $28.2 million available for potential future purchases.
Worse than expectedNet assets decreased by 29% for the three months ended December 31, 2025, and 13% for the six months, indicating a significant decline in value.The fair value of LTC depreciated from $106.87 per LTC on September 30, 2025, to $76.60 per LTC on December 31, 2025, and further to $59.59 per LTC by February 2, 2026, showing a sustained downward trend.The Trust reported a net decrease in net assets from operations, contrasting with a net increase in the prior year period, reflecting unfavorable market conditions for LTC.

Summary

  • Net assets decreased by 13% to $152.7 million for the six months ended December 31, 2025, and by 29% for the three months ended December 31, 2025.
  • The fair value of Litecoin (LTC) held by the Trust declined from $87.11 per LTC on June 30, 2025, to $76.60 per LTC on December 31, 2025, and further to $59.59 per LTC as of February 2, 2026.
  • The Trust experienced a net decrease in net assets from operations of $61.7 million for the three months and $23.2 million for the six months ended December 31, 2025.
  • The Sponsor's Fee for the three months ended December 31, 2025, was $1.155 million, and $2.548 million for the six months ended December 31, 2025.
  • The Trust does not currently operate a redemption program, but the Sponsor believes the Trust's shares would qualify for listing and trading under new SEC-approved Generic Listing Standards.

Sentiment

Score: 3

Explanation: StockSavvy.ai views this as a negative report due to significant asset depreciation and net losses from operations, reflecting unfavorable market conditions for Litecoin. While regulatory progress for generic listings is a long-term positive, the immediate financial performance is concerning.

Positives

  • The SEC approved a proposed rule change on September 17, 2025, for new Generic Listing Standards, under which the Sponsor believes the Trust's Shares would qualify for listing and trading.
  • Disclosure controls and procedures were evaluated as effective as of the end of the period.
  • No material changes to internal controls over financial reporting were reported.

Negatives

  • Net assets decreased by 29% to $152.7 million for the three months ended December 31, 2025, primarily due to LTC price depreciation.
  • The fair value of LTC declined significantly from $106.87 per LTC on September 30, 2025, to $76.60 per LTC on December 31, 2025, and further to $59.59 per LTC by February 2, 2026.
  • The Trust reported a net decrease in net assets resulting from operations of $61.694 million for the three months ended December 31, 2025, compared to a net increase of $68.103 million in the prior year period.
  • The Trust has not met its investment objective for the Shares to reflect the value of LTC held, as shares have traded at both premiums and discounts.
  • Digital Currency Group (DCG), the indirect parent company of the Sponsor, has not purchased any additional shares under its $30 million authorization since March 31, 2022, leaving $28.2 million unutilized.

Risks

  • Investing in LTC is highly speculative and volatile, with prices subject to significant fluctuations due to global supply and demand, theft, competition, and economic conditions.
  • There is a risk that some or all of the Trust's LTC could be lost or stolen, and the Custodian may not maintain adequate insurance coverage for such losses.
  • LTC transactions are irrevocable, meaning incorrectly executed transactions could adversely affect an investment.
  • If LTC is determined to be a security under federal or state securities laws, it could have material adverse consequences, including making it more difficult to trade, clear, and custody LTC, potentially forcing the Trust's liquidation if it's deemed an unregistered investment company.
  • The Trust relies on third-party service providers, and disruptions to their operations could adversely impact the Trust.
  • The Sponsor and Trust may be subject to various litigation, regulatory investigations, and other legal proceedings.

Future Outlook

The Sponsor believes the Trust's Shares would qualify for listing and trading under the SEC's newly approved Generic Listing Standards for commodity-based exchange-traded products, though no representation is made on when or if such approval and relief will be obtained. The Trust may in the future operate a redemption program, subject to regulatory approval and Sponsor discretion.

Management Comments

  • The Sponsor believes that the Trust's Shares would qualify for listing and trading under the Generic Listing Standards, but the Trust makes no representation as to when or if such approval and relief will be obtained.
  • The Trust is not aware of any trends, demands, conditions or events that are reasonably likely to result in material changes to its liquidity needs.
  • The Sponsor does not expect the foregoing proceedings [legal proceedings involving former Co-Sponsor] to have a material adverse effect on the Trust's business, financial condition or results of operations.

Industry Context

StockSavvy.ai notes that the broader cryptocurrency market, including Litecoin, remains highly sensitive to regulatory developments and market sentiment. The SEC's approval of Generic Listing Standards for commodity-based ETPs signals a potential pathway for more mainstream adoption and liquidity for digital asset trusts like Grayscale Litecoin Trust, aligning with ongoing efforts to establish clearer regulatory frameworks for digital assets. However, the continued volatility in LTC prices reflects the inherent risks and speculative nature still prevalent in the digital asset space, contrasting with the more stable growth seen in traditional commodity markets.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • The Trust's investment objective is for the value of Shares to reflect the value of LTC held, less expenses. However, the Shares quoted on OTCQX have not consistently reflected this value, trading at both premiums and discounts, which is a common challenge for closed-end digital asset trusts compared to spot ETFs that typically track underlying assets more closely.
  • The 2.5% annual Sponsor's Fee is relatively high compared to fees for traditional commodity ETFs (e.g., gold ETFs like GLD or IAU, which typically have fees below 0.50%) and even some newer spot Bitcoin ETFs (which have initial fees as low as 0.25% to 0.30% with waivers). This higher fee structure can contribute to the discount to NAV if market participants perceive it as eroding value over time.
  • The lack of a redemption program, while common for older digital asset trusts, contrasts sharply with the structure of newly approved spot crypto ETFs (like Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF or other proposed ETFs) which allow for in-kind redemptions, helping to keep market prices closer to NAV.

Management Changes

RolePrevious PersonNew PersonEffective DateReason
SponsorGrayscale Investments, LLC (until Dec 31, 2024), Grayscale Operating, LLC (co-sponsor until May 3, 2025)Grayscale Investments Sponsors, LLC (sole sponsor from May 3, 2025)2025-05-03Internal corporate reorganization (Reorganization and Management Reorganization).

Corporate Governance

Change TypeDescriptionEffective DateImpact Assessment
Index MethodologyThe Trust changed its operational valuation index from the CoinDesk Litecoin Price Index (LTX) to the CoinDesk Litecoin Benchmark Rate.2025-10-01Aims to provide a more robust and potentially more representative valuation of LTC by using a different benchmark rate.
Sponsor StructureGrayscale Investments Sponsors, LLC became the sole sponsor of the Trust following internal reorganizations.2025-05-03Consolidates sponsorship responsibilities under a single entity, Grayscale Investments Sponsors, LLC, a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, Inc.

Legal Proceedings

  • Grayscale Operating, LLC, a former Co-Sponsor, was a party to certain legal proceedings during the reporting period.
  • The Trust itself is not a party to these proceedings, and the Sponsor does not expect them to have a material adverse effect on the Trust's business, financial condition, or results of operations.

Related Party Transactions

  • The Trust pays a Sponsor's Fee of 2.5% annually to Grayscale Investments Sponsors, LLC, a related party.
  • Grayscale Securities, LLC, an affiliate of the Sponsor, is the only Authorized Participant for the Trust.
  • Digital Currency Group, Inc. (DCG), the indirect parent company of the Sponsor, had an authorization to purchase up to $30 million worth of Trust Shares, of which $1.8 million was purchased through March 31, 2022. No further purchases were made through February 2, 2026.
  • As of December 31, 2025, 23,501 Shares of the Trust were held by related parties, a decrease from 166,861 Shares on June 30, 2025.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Shareholders: Experienced a significant decrease in net asset value per share due to LTC price depreciation. Potential for future redemption program and generic listing could improve liquidity and reduce discount to NAV.
  • Sponsor: Continues to receive a 2.5% annual fee, paid in LTC, which is a consistent revenue stream.
  • Authorized Participant (Grayscale Securities, LLC): Continues to facilitate creation orders, but the absence of a redemption program limits its activities.
  • Custodian (Coinbase Custody Trust Company, LLC): Continues to safeguard the Trust's LTC holdings.

Next Steps

  • The Sponsor will continue to monitor market conditions and regulatory developments regarding the potential operation of a redemption program.
  • The Sponsor will continue to assess if the Trust's Shares qualify for listing and trading under the SEC's Generic Listing Standards.
  • The Index Provider will continue its scheduled monthly reviews of Digital Asset Trading Platforms for inclusion in the CoinDesk Litecoin Benchmark Rate.

Key Dates

DateDescription
2018-01-26Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTC) formed.
2018-03-01Trust commenced operations.
2020-07-20Trust's Shares qualified for public trading on OTC Pink tier of OTC Markets Group Inc.
2022-03-02DCG board approved purchase of up to $30 million worth of Trust Shares.
2022-03-31DCG purchased $1.8 million worth of Trust Shares by this date.
2024-01-01Grayscale Investments, LLC ceased being the Sponsor; Grayscale Operating, LLC and Grayscale Investments Sponsors, LLC became co-sponsors (Reorganization).
2025-05-03Grayscale Investments Sponsors, LLC became the sole remaining sponsor.
2025-09-17SEC approved proposed rule change for new Rule 8.201-E (Generic Listing Standards) for commodity-based exchange-traded products.
2025-10-01Index changed from CoinDesk Litecoin Price Index (LTX) to CoinDesk Litecoin Benchmark Rate.
2025-10-22Management Reorganization consummated, Grayscale Investments now sole managing member of GSO, sole member of Sponsor.
2025-12-31End of quarterly period covered by this report.
2026-01-20Index Provider added Binance, Gate, and Hashkey to the Index and removed Bitfinex during scheduled monthly review.
2026-02-02Fair value of LTC was $59.59 per LTC; last date of DCG share purchase activity reported.
2026-02-05Date of filing of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

Recommendation

hold

The significant depreciation in Litecoin's value and the resulting decrease in the Trust's net assets indicate a challenging period. While the potential for a redemption program and generic listing under new SEC standards could be long-term catalysts for reducing the discount to NAV, the immediate outlook is clouded by market volatility and the Trust's passive nature. A 'hold' recommendation is appropriate given the speculative nature of the underlying asset and the current financial performance, balanced by potential future regulatory and structural improvements.

Keywords

Litecoin, LTC, Grayscale, Digital Asset Trust, Cryptocurrency, SEC Filing, 10-Q, Investment Trust, Digital Currency, Asset Management

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