8-K: ExxonMobil Reports Industry-Leading $36 Billion Full-Year Earnings for 2023

Sentiment:

Annual Results


ExxonMobil announced full-year 2023 earnings of $36 billion, driven by strong operational performance and strategic portfolio management.

Worse than expectedFull-year earnings decreased by $19.73 billion compared to 2022.Fourth-quarter earnings were negatively impacted by $2.3 billion in identified items.Upstream, Energy Products, and Chemical Products earnings all decreased compared to 2022.

Summary

  • ExxonMobil reported full-year 2023 earnings of $36 billion, a decrease from $55.74 billion in 2022.
  • The company generated $55.4 billion in cash flow from operating activities and distributed $32.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
  • Fourth-quarter earnings were $7.6 billion, or $1.91 per share, including a $2.3 billion unfavorable impact from identified items.
  • Excluding identified items, fourth-quarter earnings were $10.0 billion, or $2.48 per share.
  • The company achieved $9.7 billion in cumulative structural cost savings in 2023 compared to 2019, exceeding its $9 billion target.
  • ExxonMobil plans to deliver cumulative savings totaling $15 billion through the end of 2027.
  • Capital and exploration expenditures for the full year were $26.3 billion, slightly above the guidance range.
  • The company increased Guyana and Permian production by 18% compared to 2022 and achieved record annual refinery throughput.
  • ExxonMobil launched a new Mobil Lithium business with the potential to supply up to one million EVs per year by 2030.
  • The company completed the acquisition of Denbury, Inc. for $4.8 billion in stock, expanding its carbon capture and storage capabilities.

Sentiment

Score: 6

Explanation: The document presents a mixed picture. While ExxonMobil highlights strong operational performance, cost savings, and shareholder returns, there are significant decreases in earnings compared to the previous year and a large impairment charge. The company is also making strategic moves into new areas, but the overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic.

Positives

  • ExxonMobil achieved industry-leading earnings and cash flow.
  • The company exceeded its cost savings target for 2023.
  • Production growth in Guyana and the Permian Basin was significant.
  • The company is expanding into new growth areas such as lithium production.
  • Shareholder returns were substantial through dividends and share repurchases.
  • The company has a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-capital ratio.
  • ExxonMobil has increased its annual dividend for 41 consecutive years.
  • The company is making progress on its net-zero emissions plan in the Permian Basin.

Negatives

  • Full-year earnings decreased by $19.73 billion compared to 2022.
  • Fourth-quarter earnings were negatively impacted by $2.3 billion in identified items, including a $2.0 billion impairment in California.
  • Upstream earnings decreased by $15.2 billion compared to 2022.
  • Energy Products earnings decreased by $2.8 billion versus 2022.
  • Chemical Products earnings decreased by $1.9 billion versus 2022.
  • The company experienced lower liquids and natural gas realizations compared to the previous year.
  • The company had unfavorable unsettled derivatives mark-to-market effects of $2.4 billion.

Risks

  • Regulatory obstacles in California have prevented production and distribution assets from coming back online, resulting in a $2.0 billion impairment.
  • The company faces risks related to global supply and demand for oil, natural gas, and petrochemicals.
  • Government policies and regulations, including environmental and tax regulations, could impact future investments.
  • The company is exposed to variable impacts of trading activities on margins and results.
  • Unforeseen technical or operating difficulties and unplanned maintenance could affect production.
  • The development and competitiveness of alternative energy and emission reduction technologies pose a risk.
  • The company is subject to risks related to war, civil unrest, and other political or security disturbances.
  • The company is subject to risks related to the timely granting of governmental permits and certifications.

Future Outlook

The company plans to deliver cumulative structural cost savings totaling $15 billion through the end of 2027. ExxonMobil aims to produce enough Mobil Lithium to potentially supply approximately one million EVs per year by 2030. The merger with Pioneer Natural Resources is expected to close in the second quarter of 2024. The company is also focused on advancing its climate solutions and achieving net-zero emissions targets.

Management Comments

  • Darren Woods, chairman and chief executive officer, stated that the results demonstrate the fundamental improvements made to the business.
  • He also highlighted the progress in high-grading the portfolio through investments in advantaged projects and select divestments.
  • Woods expressed pride in the accomplishments of the company's people.

Industry Context

ExxonMobil's results are being compared to its industry peers, including BP, Chevron, Shell, and TotalEnergies. The company is emphasizing its industry-leading performance in earnings, cash flow, and shareholder distributions. The move into lithium production and carbon capture and storage reflects a broader industry trend towards diversification and sustainability.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • ExxonMobil claims to have delivered industry-leading earnings and shareholder distributions in 2023, based on actual results for companies that reported on or before February 1, 2024, or estimated using Bloomberg consensus.
  • The company's compounded annual growth rate for earnings excluding identified items and cash flow since 2019 is also claimed to be leading the industry, with peer group including BP, Chevron, Shell and TotalEnergies.
  • ExxonMobil's record annual refinery throughput is compared to its own historical performance since the Exxon and Mobil merger in 1999.
  • The company's Permian Basin net-zero emissions plan is compared to Pioneer's, with ExxonMobil aiming to accelerate Pioneer's plan to 2035 from 2050.
  • The company's lithium production plans are compared to traditional mining operations, with ExxonMobil claiming a smaller environmental footprint and lower carbon and water impacts.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Shareholders will benefit from dividends and share repurchases.
  • Employees are recognized for their contributions to the company's performance.
  • Customers will benefit from the company's continued supply of energy products.
  • The company's expansion into lithium production could impact suppliers and customers in the EV market.
  • The company's carbon capture and storage initiatives could impact communities and stakeholders in the areas where these projects are located.

Next Steps

  • The company will continue to focus on operational efficiencies and cost savings.
  • ExxonMobil will advance its lithium production plans.
  • The company will integrate Denbury's carbon capture and storage assets.
  • The merger with Pioneer Natural Resources is expected to close in the second quarter of 2024.
  • ExxonMobil will continue to work towards its net-zero emissions targets.

Key Dates

DateDescription
February 1, 2024Date used for peer group comparison of companies that reported results on or before this date, or estimated using Bloomberg consensus.
February 2, 2024Date of the earnings release and 8-K filing.
February 14, 2024Record date for the first-quarter dividend.
March 11, 2024Payment date for the first-quarter dividend.
Second quarter of 2024Expected closing of the merger with Pioneer Natural Resources.
2027Planned first production for the Mobil Lithium business.
2030Target for Mobil Lithium production to supply approximately one million EVs per year and target for net-zero Scope 1 and 2 emissions from its unconventional operations in the Permian.
2035Target for net-zero emissions in Pioneer Permian assets.
2050Ambition to reach Scope 1 and Scope 2 net zero from operated assets.

Keywords

ExxonMobil, earnings, oil and gas, production, refining, lithium, carbon capture, cost savings, shareholder distributions, Permian, Guyana, financial results

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