20-F: Chemomab Therapeutics Reports Positive Data, Aligns with FDA on Phase 3 Trial for PSC Treatment

Sentiment:

Annual Report


Chemomab Therapeutics announces positive clinical data from its PSC SPRING study and alignment with the FDA on a Phase 3 registration study for nebokitug, a potential treatment for Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis.

Capital raiseThe Company will be required to raise additional funds to support its operations and continue as a going concern.While management believes that the Company can raise additional funds, there can be no assurance that these efforts will be successful or sufficient.
Better than expectedThe document contains better than expected results because the company has aligned with the FDA on a Phase 3 registration study for nebokitug for the treatment of PSC.

Summary

  • Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd. has reported positive clinical data from the open label (OLE) part of the PSC SPRING study.
  • Treatment with nebokitug for up to 48 weeks was well-tolerated and reinforced the positive results seen in the 15-week double-blinded portion of the Phase 2 SPRING trial.
  • Treatment in PSC patients with moderate/advanced disease for up to 48 weeks resulted in continued substantial improvements across key biomarkers of liver injury/inflammation and fibrosis, including ELF score, fibrosis-related ELF score components and PRO-C.
  • OLE patients treated with nebokitug showed stabilization of liver stiffness and a significantly lower number of clinical events compared to historical controls.
  • Chemomab announced the successful completion of its End-of-Phase 2 Meeting with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and alignment with the FDA on the design of a Phase 3 registration study for nebokitug for the treatment of PSC.
  • The FDA and Chemomab agreed on the design for a single Phase 3 pivotal PSC trial that could result in full regulatory approval of nebokitug for patients with PSC.
  • The primary endpoint measures time-to-first clinical event and encompasses multiple clinical events associated with disease progression.
  • Approximately 350 PSC patients will be enrolled in the trial, and the study population will be enriched for patients with moderate to advanced disease.
  • Chemomab expects to leverage the strong relationships with global clinical investigators it developed during its successful Phase 2 SPRING study to facilitate enrollment in the nebokitug pivotal trial.
  • As of December 31, 2024, the registrant had outstanding 377,132,220 ordinary shares, no par value.
  • As of December 31, 2024, our cash, cash equivalents and deposits were approximately $14.3 million.
  • We believe our cash and cash equivalents and bank deposits as of December 31, 2024, will be sufficient to fund our operations through the first quarter of 2026.
  • This excludes capital losses of approximately $14,224 thousands for which the company will create a full valuation allowance.

Sentiment

Score: 6

Explanation: The document presents a mixed sentiment. Positive clinical trial results and FDA alignment are encouraging, but concerns about ongoing losses and the need for additional funding temper the outlook.

Positives

  • Nebokitug treatment for up to 48 weeks was well-tolerated and reinforced the positive results seen in the 15-week double-blinded portion of the Phase 2 SPRING trial.
  • Treatment in PSC patients with moderate/advanced disease for up to 48 weeks resulted in continued substantial improvements across key biomarkers of liver injury/inflammation and fibrosis, including ELF score, fibrosis-related ELF score components and PRO-C.
  • OLE patients treated with nebokitug showed stabilization of liver stiffness and a significantly lower number of clinical events compared to historical controls.
  • Chemomab and the FDA aligned on a clinical events-driven Phase 3 trial design for nebokitug for the treatment of PSC.
  • We believe our cash and cash equivalents and bank deposits as of December 31, 2024, will be sufficient to fund our operations through the first quarter of 2026.

Negatives

  • The Company has incurred recurring losses from operations as of December 31, 2024 of approximately $103 million and negative cash flows from operating activities in 2024 of $15.4 million with currently no products approved for sale.
  • These indicators raising substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.
  • The Company will be required to raise additional funds to support its operations and continue as a going concern.
  • This excludes capital losses of approximately $14,224 thousands for which the company will create a full valuation allowance.

Risks

  • The Company has incurred recurring losses from operations as of December 31, 2024 of approximately $103 million and negative cash flows from operating activities in 2024 of $15.4 million with currently no products approved for sale.
  • These indicators raising substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.
  • The Company will be required to raise additional funds to support its operations and continue as a going concern.
  • There can be no assurance that these efforts will be successful or sufficient.
  • The Company relies on one supplier for the production of the CM-101 used in its product development.
  • If this supplier fails to deliver or experiences production delays, the Company will be required to seek an alternative solution.
  • Switching suppliers may cause manufacturing delays and higher costs, potentially delaying the product's development and impacting the Company's operational results and financial position.

Future Outlook

The company plans to initiate a Phase 3 trial for nebokitug in PSC, contingent on securing a strategic partnership or financing.

Industry Context

The announcement highlights the competitive landscape of drug development for fibrotic/inflammatory diseases, noting that Chemomab is unique in having a monoclonal antibody targeting CCL24 in clinical development.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • The document mentions that in 2024 Gilead acquired Cymabay for its PPAR agonist in Primary biliary cirrhosis.
  • In 2019 Novartis completed two transactions related to the treatment of MASH, a liver metabolic fibrotic disease.
  • It acquired IFM Tre for NLRP3 antagonists for a $310 million upfront payment and total potential consideration of $1.5 billion and licensed an integrin inhibitor from Pliant Therapeutics for an $80 million upfront payment.
  • Additionally, Gilead Sciences licensed two preclinical programs, one in MASH for a $15 million upfront payment (total potential consideration of $785 million) and the other for TGFinhibitors in fibrosis for an $80 million upfront payment and total potential consideration of $1.4 billion.
  • In 2020, Roche acquired Promedior for a $390 million upfront payment and total potential consideration of $1 billion in milestones for its Phase 2 product in pulmonary fibrosis, and Bayer partnered with Recursion Pharmaceuticals to develop and commercialize preclinical-stage small molecule treatments for fibrotic conditions for a $30 million upfront payment and total potential consideration of $1 billion.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Positive clinical results and potential FDA approval could benefit patients with PSC.
  • The need for additional funding may dilute shareholder value.
  • Successful commercialization of nebokitug could create value for shareholders.

Next Steps

  • Initiate a Phase 3 pivotal trial in PSC, contingent on securing a strategic partnership or financing.

Key Dates

DateDescription
2011-09-30Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd. incorporated
2024-12-31End of fiscal year
2025-03-31Date to which current liquidity resources are expected to last
2026-Q1Estimated end of operational funding based on current cash resources

Keywords

Chemomab Therapeutics, nebokitug, Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis, PSC, FDA, Phase 3 Trial, Clinical Data, Biomarkers, Clinical Events, Drug Development

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