10-Q: abrdn Precious Metals ETF Reports NAV Decline

Sentiment:

Quarterly Report


The abrdn Precious Metals Basket ETF Trust reported a significant decrease in Net Asset Value (NAV) for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, primarily due to market fluctuations in gold, silver, platinum, and palladium.

Worse than expectedThe Net Asset Value (NAV) per Share decreased by 15.25% for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, from $213.71 to $181.11.This decline was primarily driven by a significant unrealized loss of $446,756,986 on investment in Bullion during the quarter.The NAV per Share for the six-month period decreased by 12.16% from $206.19 to $181.11, also impacted by an unrealized loss of $394,204,710.

Summary

  • The abrdn Precious Metals Basket ETF Trust (GLTR) reported a decrease in Net Asset Value (NAV) from $2,906,491,871 on March 31, 2026, to $2,458,556,688 on June 30, 2026, a 15.41% decline for the quarter.
  • The NAV per Share also decreased by 15.25% from $213.71 to $181.11 over the same period.
  • This decline was largely driven by a substantial change in unrealized loss on investment in Bullion, amounting to $446,756,986 for the quarter.
  • Total expenses for the quarter were $4,305,932, primarily consisting of the Sponsor's Fee.
  • For the six months ended June 30, 2026, the NAV decreased by 4.61% from $2,577,422,977 to $2,458,556,688.
  • The NAV per Share for the six-month period decreased by 12.16% from $206.19 to $181.11.
  • The six-month period saw an unrealized loss on investment in Bullion of $394,204,710 and total expenses of $8,777,280.

Sentiment

Score: 3

Explanation: StockSavvy.ai views this as a negative sentiment due to the significant decrease in Net Asset Value (NAV) and NAV per Share, driven by a substantial unrealized loss on bullion investments, despite the underlying precious metals' price movements.

Positives

  • The Trust experienced realized gains on Bullion transferred to pay expenses ($2,240,469 for the quarter, $4,498,916 for six months).
  • Realized gains were also recorded on Bullion distributed for the redemption of Shares ($5,841,958 for the quarter, $18,283,437 for six months).
  • The Sponsor covers administrative and marketing expenses, including trustee fees, custodian fees, exchange listing fees, SEC registration fees, printing, mailing, audit fees, and up to $100,000 annually in legal expenses.

Negatives

  • The Net Asset Value (NAV) per Share decreased by 15.25% for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, falling from $213.71 to $181.11.
  • A significant unrealized loss of $446,756,986 on investment in Bullion was recorded for the quarter.
  • The Net Asset Value (NAV) per Share decreased by 12.16% for the six months ended June 30, 2026, falling from $206.19 to $181.11.
  • An unrealized loss of $394,204,710 on investment in Bullion was recorded for the six-month period.
  • The Trust had no cash balances as of June 30, 2026.

Risks

  • The Trust's sole business activity is investment in Bullion, creating a concentration of risk associated with fluctuations in the price of gold, silver, platinum, and palladium.
  • Factors affecting Bullion prices include global supply and demand, economic conditions, central bank actions, inflation expectations, currency exchange rates, interest rates, and geopolitical events.
  • There is no assurance that Bullion will maintain its long-term value in terms of purchasing power.
  • A decline in the price of Bullion is expected to result in a proportional decline in the value of an investment in the Shares.

Future Outlook

The filing does not contain specific forward-looking statements or guidance beyond the general investment objective of reflecting the performance of physical gold, silver, platinum, and palladium prices, less expenses.

Management Comments

  • The Sponsor believes that, for many investors, the Shares will represent a cost effective investment relative to traditional means of investing in Bullion.
  • The Trustee will endeavor to sell the smallest amounts of Bullion needed to pay expenses in order to minimize the Trusts holdings of assets other than Bullion.
  • The Sponsor has evaluated whether or not there are uncertain tax positions that require financial statement recognition and has determined that no reserves for uncertain tax positions are required.

Industry Context

StockSavvy.ai notes that the performance of this ETF is directly tied to the volatile prices of precious metals. The significant unrealized losses reflect the market's recent downturn in these commodities, a trend observed across similar commodity-focused ETFs.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • The expense ratio of 0.60% is consistent across periods presented and is a standard fee for passively managed commodity ETFs.
  • The Trust operates as a single segment, which is typical for commodity-backed ETFs where the primary asset is the underlying commodity.
  • The valuation methodology using LBMA prices is a standard industry practice for precious metal ETFs.

Legal Proceedings

  • None disclosed in the filing.

Related Party Transactions

  • The Sponsor (abrdn ETFs Sponsor LLC) and the Trustee (The Bank of New York Mellon) are related parties.
  • The Trustee and Custodian and their affiliates may act as Authorized Participants and trade Bullion.
  • Trustee and Custodian fees are paid by the Sponsor, not directly by the Trust.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Shareholders are directly impacted by the decline in NAV per Share due to market fluctuations in precious metals.
  • The Sponsor is impacted by the overall performance of the Trust as its fee is based on ANAV.
  • Authorized Participants are involved in the creation and redemption of Shares, facilitating market liquidity.

Next Steps

  • The Trust will continue to hold Bullion in set ratios to reflect the performance of gold, silver, platinum, and palladium.
  • Shares will continue to be created and redeemed with Authorized Participants in exchange for Bullion.
  • The Sponsor will continue to cover administrative and marketing expenses.

Key Dates

DateDescription
2010-10-18Trust formation date under New York law.
2024-05-23Effective date of Allocated Account Agreement and Unallocated Account Agreement with ICBC Standard Bank Plc.
2024-05-28Effective date for standard settlement period of one business day for Shares.
2025-12-31End of fiscal year for comparative financial data.
2026-03-31End of prior quarter for comparative financial data.
2026-06-30Quarterly period end date for the reported financial statements.
2026-08-05Date as of which outstanding shares were reported.
2026-08-07Date of the report signatures.

Recommendation

hold

The filing indicates a significant decline in NAV and NAV per Share due to market conditions affecting precious metals. While there are realized gains from expense payments and redemptions, the substantial unrealized losses are a major concern. The Trust's performance is entirely dependent on the volatile precious metals market. Given the current negative trend and the inherent volatility, a 'hold' recommendation is appropriate, pending a recovery in precious metal prices or a change in market dynamics.

Keywords

Precious Metals ETF, Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Bullion, ETF Trust, GLTR

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